Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Ravens vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Chargers on Monday, November 25th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Los Angeles Monday Night football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(7-4) Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)
Date: Monday, November 25th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -3 | Los Angeles +3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -157 | Los Angeles +132
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Get ready for an electrifying Monday Night Football showdown in Week 12 as the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers clash under the bright lights of SoFi Stadium.
“The Harbaugh Bowl!”
This matchup promises high-stakes action, featuring two of the league’s most dynamic quarterbacks in Lamar Jackson and Justin Herbert.
The rivalry, which Baltimore leads 9-6, including a playoff tilt, has seen its fair share of drama. Their most recent meeting in 2023 ended in a 20-10 Ravens victory, but this time around, both teams are hungry for a statement win in primetime.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Ravens have a record of 2-1. The Ravens also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
The Ravens, sitting at 7-4, bring their usual grit under John Harbaugh, but they’ve struggled against AFC West foes recently, going 2-4 ATS in their last six matchups. On the other side, the Chargers, boasting a 7-3 record, are on fire.
They’ve covered the spread in five of their last six games and are 5-2 straight up against AFC North opponents in their past seven meetings.
Baltimore Ravens
Heading into week 12, the Ravens hold a 7-4 record, placing them 2nd in the AFC North. Our projections give them a 97.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 32.7% chance of winning the division. Despite their loss to the Steelers in week 11, Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings.
Against the spread, the Ravens are 5-5-1 this season, with an average scoring margin of +5.7 points. Their O/U record is 9-2, with their games averaging 55 points compared to an average line of 47.8.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 12, the Ravens sit atop our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (430.1) and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 30.4. Baltimore ranks 3rd in passing yards per game (252.8) despite being 23rd in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 5th in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game with 177.3. The Ravens are 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage but rank 29th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 11, Lamar Jackson threw for 207 yards, completing 16 of 33 passes with one touchdown and one interception. Derrick Henry led the rushing attack with 65 yards on 13 carries, while Isaiah Likely had 4 catches for 75 yards. Baltimore scored 6 points in the 4th quarter against the Steelers after being shut out in the 1st quarter.
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In their 18-16 loss to the Steelers, the Ravens’ defense played well, allowing just 181 passing yards and holding Pittsburgh to 25% on third down. They also came up with four sacks and one interception. The Ravens’ run defense gave up 122 yards on 34 carries, and Baltimore forced the Steelers into a 63.9% completion percentage. Despite this, the Ravens still came up short in an 18-16 defeat.
The Ravens’ defense limited the Steelers to just 303 total yards and didn’t allow a passing touchdown in the game. Baltimore’s offense missed a game-winning two-point conversion attempt with 12 seconds remaining. The Ravens also won the tackles for loss differential and the quarterback hit differential in this game.
Los Angeles Chargers
With their 34-27 win over the Bengals in week 11, the Chargers extended their winning streak to four games, bringing their record to 7-3. This run includes victories over the Titans, Browns, and Saints. Against Cincinnati, L.A. covered the 1-point spread, improving their ATS record to 7-2-1. They have covered in four straight games, including a 10-point win over the Titans as 8.5-point favorites in week 10.
Heading into week 12, the Chargers rank 14th in our power rankings and have a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 5th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC West with a 2-1 division record. Their O/U record is 3-7, with the over hitting in two straight games.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Justin Herbert has been playing well for the Chargers, posting a passer rating of 94 in week 11, with 297 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Bengals. He avoided interceptions for the third straight game, after recording ratings of 123 in week 10 and 125 in week 9. Ladd McConkey led the receiving corps in week 11, catching 6 passes for 123 yards.
Heading into week 12, the Chargers rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game (22) and 18th in passing yards per game (204.8). On the ground, they average 121.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 12th in the league.
In their most recent game, the Chargers’ defense gave up 342 passing yards to the Bengals, but still came away with a 34-27 win. The Chargers’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns and 452 total yards. Despite this, they held the Bengals to a 29.4% conversion rate on third down and recorded three sacks.
The Chargers’ run defense allowed 110 yards on 25 attempts, and their secondary limited the Bengals to a 56% completion percentage. Los Angeles also had a positive 8 difference in quarterback hits and one more tackle for loss than the Bengals.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -125 | -156 | -2 | -3 |
| Chargers | +105 | +132 | +2 | +3 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +3
Under the primetime lights of Los Angeles, expect a fast-paced, hard-hitting game filled with momentum swings and highlight-reel plays. Whether you’re backing Baltimore to hold serve or leaning toward the surging Chargers, this matchup is a must-watch.
The Ravens rely on Jackson’s dual-threat abilities and a top-tier defense, while the Chargers counter with Herbert’s cannon of an arm and an improving ground game.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +3 on the point spread lines, and we have them winning by a score of 24-20.
The momentum from last week will carry over into this week’s action. I trust my eyes.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 44.
With Baltimore favored by just a field goal and a total set at 51, the oddsmakers are expecting a nail-biter.
Both teams have postseason aspirations, and this game could be pivotal in seeding battles.
I think the game script of this one will show us the defenses come to play.
Buckle up—Monday Night Football doesn’t get much better than this!
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
rent free pic.twitter.com/tgkcEh4bgT
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) November 21, 2024
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