
Free NFL Pick: Ravens vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Chiefs on 9/28 at Arrowhead Stadium, in Kansas City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Ravens Chiefs free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs
(1-2) Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs (1-2)
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
NFL Moneyline Odds: Ravens -149 | Chiefs +125 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Ravens -2.5 | Chiefs +2.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 48.5
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Ravens vs. Chiefs Gameday
Let’s look at the game setup. The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs. Both teams enter the game with matching 1-2 records, and a victory could be pivotal for their respective seasons.
The Ravens, under head coach John Harbaugh, have shown strength in their offensive play. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has been a key player, with notable performances in previous games. However, Baltimore’s defense, coordinated by Zach Orr, will need to step up against the Chiefs’ potent offense.
On the other hand, the Chiefs, led by head coach Andy Reid, are aiming to capitalize on their home-field advantage. Arrowhead Stadium is known for its energetic atmosphere, which could play a role in the game’s outcome.
The Chiefs’ quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, will look to guide his team to a win after a mix of results in recent weeks.
Week 4, Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the game odds reveal that the Ravens are slight favorites with a moneyline of -146. The Chiefs, playing at home, are at +123. The spread is set at -2.5 for the Ravens, which indicates a close contest is expected.
Looking back at previous games, the Ravens have experienced a mixed start to their season. After a narrow loss to the Bills and a convincing win over the Browns, they fell to the Lions at home.
This pattern shows that the Ravens have potential but need to find consistency.
Conversely, the Chiefs also have a 1-2 record, facing setbacks against the Chargers and Eagles before securing a victory against the Giants. Despite these challenges, the Chiefs have shown strong defensive plays, which they hope to continue at Arrowhead.
Chiefs Stats
As the Kansas City Chiefs prepare for Week 4, they look to build on their recent win against the New York Giants. The Chiefs secured a 22-9 victory, showcasing a strong defensive effort.
This win followed two narrow losses, suggesting the team is finding its rhythm.
Patrick Mahomes continues to lead the Chiefs’ offense with 669 passing yards over three games. His performance ranks him first on the team and 13th in the league for passing yards. In addition, Tyquan Thornton has been a key target, with 171 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Defensively, the Chiefs have been effective, allowing only 326 points last season, ranking them fourth. George Karlaftis has been impactful with a recent sack and eight solo tackles. Meanwhile, Jaylen Watson contributed an interception in the last game, adding to the team’s defensive strength.
Injuries could play a role, as several key players are sidelined. Kristian Fulton and Mike Danna are day to day, while others like Deon Bush are out for the season.
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Ravens Stats
First, let’s look at the Baltimore Ravens’ offensive performance. Last season, they ranked third in scoring with 518 points and led the league in rushing yards with 3189. This season, Lamar Jackson has already thrown for 722 yards and nine touchdowns, placing him first in the league for passing touchdowns.
Next, consider the Ravens’ defense, which was a strong unit last season. They ranked second in sacks with 54 and ninth in opponent scoring, allowing just 361 points. This season, they’ve had mixed results, giving up 38 points to the Detroit Lions in their most recent game.
In their recent games, the Ravens have shown both strengths and weaknesses. They secured a win against the Cleveland Browns with a commanding 41-17 score, but suffered narrow losses to the Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions.
Derrick Henry has been a key player, rushing for 169 yards and two touchdowns against the Bills.
Finally, the Ravens face some injury challenges going into their matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs. Key players like Nnamdi Madubuike and Isaiah Likely are listed as questionable.
Despite these setbacks, the Ravens will rely on their depth, moxy, and talent to compete at Arrowhead Stadium.
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Ravens vs. Chiefs QB Matchup
Patrick Mahomes continues to lead the Kansas City Chiefs with his dynamic play. Over the first three games of the 2025 season, he has accumulated 669 passing yards, placing him 13th in the league. Additionally, he has thrown three touchdowns and one interception, showing his steady command of the offense.
In this upcoming game against the Baltimore Ravens, Mahomes is projected to pass for 247.7 yards and score 1.7 touchdowns. His ability to extend plays with his legs is also noteworthy, as he averages 41.7 rushing yards per game.
This versatility makes him a constant threat to opposing defenses.
Lamar Jackson, on the other hand, has been a standout for the Baltimore Ravens. Through three games, Jackson has thrown for 722 yards, ranking him 10th in the league, and he leads the league with nine passing touchdowns. Impressively, he has not thrown any interceptions, showcasing his precision and decision-making.
Looking ahead to the matchup at Arrowhead Stadium, Jackson is expected to pass for 230.4 yards and score 1.9 touchdowns. His rushing ability remains a key aspect of his game, as he averages 39.3 rushing yards per game, making him a dual-threat quarterback that defenses must account for.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 regular season games as favorites.
- The Ravens have hit the over in their last 4 regular season games as favorites.
- Also, the Ravens are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 regular season away games.
- The Chiefs are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 regular season home games.
- Additionally, the Chiefs have gone under in 4 of their last 6 regular season home games.
- The Chiefs are 1-3 straight up in their last 4 regular season games as underdogs.
Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction: Over 48.5
The Baltimore Ravens continue to reward bettors with overs, cashing in their last four when playing as favorites and five of their last six overall.
Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, and facing a Chiefs defense that has struggled at Arrowhead, the setup is there for another high-scoring contest.
Kansas City has seen four of its last six at home stay under, but Baltimore’s offensive pace is a different challenge entirely. The last time these two squared off in Arrowhead, the score sailed past the posted number, and a repeat looks likely with Lamar Jackson in rhythm.
Defensively, it would take a near-perfect effort from the Chiefs to slow Baltimore down, and that feels like too much to ask. Patrick Mahomes will keep Kansas City competitive, but the Ravens’ balance may ultimately be too much.
All signs point toward a shootout, with Baltimore dictating tempo and forcing Kansas City into a track meet.
With both offenses capable of stringing together explosive drives and recent trends leaning heavily toward points, the over 48.5 is the sharp play.
Expect Baltimore to control much of the action, with Kansas City falling short in another high-scoring loss at home.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Always a show 🍿 pic.twitter.com/bgKowmz2pN
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 24, 2025
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