Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Ravens vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, December 17th at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(10-3) Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville FL
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -3.5 | Jacksonville +3.5
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -182 | Jacksonville +149
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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In the series history, the Jaguars lead 13-10 and hold an 8-3 home advantage.
The Jags have won 4 of the last 5 home games against the Ravens. (Including a 2017 victory in the UK).
In their only head to head matchup last season, the Jaguars won by a score of 28-27. The Jags scored 18 points in the fourth quarter at EverBank Stadium.
Against the spread, the Jaguars covered in the only head-to-head matchup between the teams. The over/under line was going into the game 43 points which the team’s surpassed.
In last year’s win, the Jaguars finished with 332 of total offense, with 38 coming in the running game and 294 through the air. On the other side, the Ravens ended the game with 415 of offense.
Offensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 27.8 (4th) | 24 (9th) |
| Yards Per Game | 372.5 (6th) | 342.7 (11th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 157.1 (1st) | 99.8 (24th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 215.4 (19th) | 242.9 (9th) |
| Third Down Conversion Percentage | 42.7% (9th) | 37.5% (18th) |
| Red Zone Conversion Percentage | 3.9% (27th) | 23.7% (14th) |
Defensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game Allowed | 16.8 (2nd) | 22.3 (18th) |
| Yards Per Game Allowed | 284.4 (2nd) | 357.4 (24th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed | 104.2 (12th) | 92.2 (4th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game Allowed | 180.2 (4th) | 265.2 (31st) |
| Turnovers Forced | 19 (6th) | 24 (1st) |
| Sacks | 49 (1st) | 27 (16th) |
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Baltimore Ravens
As they prepare to face the Jaguars, the Ravens hold a 10-3 record. Within the AFC-North, they currently sit in 1st place and are 1st place in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Ravens have a 8-5 record. Heading into week 15, their scoring margin is at +11 (per game).
After taking an early four-point first quarter lead, the Ravens went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 6 yards per play leading to a total of 449 yards of offense.
Defensively, they allowed 128 yards rushing and 12.3 yards per completion. Even though Baltimore won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 7.5 point favorites.
Quarterback Lamar Jackson had a big game, throwing for 316 yards on a passer rating of 92. Jackson completed 55% of 43 attempts in the game.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
On offense, Jackson ended with 316 passing yards on a completion rate of 55%. On the ground, the Ravens ran the ball 26 times, amassing 139 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 33.3%.
Ravens are averaging over 5.0 YPC, and you know they’ll look to establish the run. Jaguars Run D is legit though, it’s going to be tough.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Ravens currently hold an average of 27.8 points per game, which places them at 4th in the NFL.
Looking at Baltimore’s defense, they currently stand 2nd in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 16.8 points per game and 284.4 yards per contest against them.
Lamar is hoping to build on his game from last week and he’s really hooking up nicely with Flowers and OBJ of late. He’s missing Andrews, but Likely is making Andrew’s loss a little less hurtful.
The Ravens passing attack looks good, and Jacksonville’s pass defense is leaking like a you know what of late.
Jacksonville Jaguars
In their game against the Ravens, the Jaguars will aim to improve their 8-5 record. This positions them 1st in the AFC-South and 4th in the AFC. Looking at the Jaguars’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +1.7. This has led to an ATS record of 8-5.
Jacksonville got off to slow start in their loss to the Browns, failing to score at all in the first-quarter.
Overall, the Jaguars finished with 293 of offense while giving up 389 on defense. Jacksonville’s 4 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2.5 point underdogs.
Trevor Lawrence threw for 257 yards while completing 56% of his passes and throwing for 257. Lawrence threw for three touchdowns.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Facing the Browns, the Jaguars rushed the ball 20 times, with Travis Etienne Jr. leading the team with 35 yards. Lawrence attempted 50 passes, accumulating 257 yards and a passer rating of 65.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Jaguars currently hold an average of 24 points per game, which places them at 9th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Jaguars currently hold the 18th position in tackles for loss and rank 16th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 22.3 points and 357.4 yards per game against them.
Lawrence needs to clean things up this week. The Ravens defense, like the Browns are top notch, and Lawrence can’t afford to be throwing 3 INT’s again.
Stafford had some nice passing lanes last week, so I’m assuming the Jags OC has seen the holes in the Ravens secondary and they’ll try to exploit that with Engram (over the middle), Jones, and Ridley (all over the field).
Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 9-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -290 | -182 | -6.5 | -3.5 |
| Jaguars | +235 | +149 | +6.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +3.5
In a showdown between two of the AFC’s top 4 teams, the stakes are high as they vie for crucial home field advantage. Expect a defensive battle, as both squads rank in the Top 10 for total defense against the run. Although the Jaguars have faced challenges on their home turf recently, this game holds immense significance for them.
Anticipate an exciting matchup with everything on the line!
When Baltimore faces Jacksonville, the Ravens have struggled, with a 1-6 ATS record in their last 7 games against them, and they haven’t performed well on the road with a 0-4-1 ATS record.
On the other hand, the Jaguars have been solid, boasting a 14-6 ATS and 14-6 SU record in their last 20 games, along with a 5-2 ATS record against AFC opponents.
I think this matchup comes down to which team throws for more TD’s. I feel the Run-D’s for both teams are going to keep the other teams top run option in check. Even though Kyren Williams gashed the Ravens run D last week I don’t think Etienne is in his weight class.
Still…home dogs are barking. They’ll also have their bite…
For the point spread, I’m backing Jacksonville at +3.5.
My bet for this game is the over, with the current over/under line at 43.5. So far this season, Jacksonville games have averaged a combined score of 46.3 points, and I foresee this game surpassing 43.5.
Now, if you want to consider over/under trends for this matchup, here’s what you need to know. In Jacksonville’s home games, the total has gone OVER in 4 out of their last 6 games and 7 out of 8 games played in December.
Similarly, for Baltimore, the total has gone OVER in 5 out of their last 7 games.
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Ravens Jaguars NFL Handicapping
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Show up and show out, #DUUUVAL!@BonosBBQ | #BALvsJAX pic.twitter.com/stkwUQyQsA
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) December 15, 2023
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