Free NFL Divisional Round Pick: Ravens vs. Bills Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills free Divisional round picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Bills on Sunday, January 19th at the Highmark Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Buffalo Divisional playoff matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Divisional Weekend
2025 NFL Playoffs – Divisional Round
(12-5) Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
Date: Sunday, January 19th
Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -1 | Buffalo +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -117 | Buffalo -102
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The stage is set for a blockbuster AFC Divisional Round matchup between the Baltimore Ravens (12-5) and the Buffalo Bills (13-4), featuring two of the NFL’s most electrifying quarterbacks in Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen.
These teams have met 12 times in their history, with Baltimore holding a 7-5 edge, including a dominant 35-10 win earlier this season at M&T Bank Stadium. But this time, the stakes are higher, the venue is Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, and the Bills are a different beast at home.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bills have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Ravens went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 0-3 on an average of 35 points per game.
Buffalo comes into this game riding a wave of momentum, boasting an 11-2 record over their last 13 games and an unbeaten 9-0 run at home.
Baltimore Ravens
After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, the Ravens entered the playoffs on a four-game winning streak, which included a 28-14 victory over the Steelers in the Wild Card round.
Baltimore was favored by 8.5 points in that game and covered the spread, while the teams combined for 42 points, falling short of the 44.5-point line. In week 18, the Ravens easily handled the Browns, winning 35-10 and covering the 20-point spread.
The O/U line was 42 points, and the teams combined for 45. Baltimore also covered the spread in week 17, beating the Texans 31-2.
Heading into the divisional round, the Ravens are ranked 2nd in our power rankings. They went 11-6-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.5 points per game. Their O/U record is 13-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points compared to an average line of 47.1.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
We have the Ravens at the top of our offensive power rankings heading into the divisional round.
They lead the NFL in yards per game (427.1) and rank 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.3. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 193.8 rushing yards per game.
On 3rd down, they have been efficient, converting 48.2% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL. However, they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 31st in conversion percentage.
Lamar Jackson is coming off a strong performance in the wild card round, posting a passer rating of 132 against the Steelers. He threw for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16/21 passing.
Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Isaiah Likely led the team in receiving with 53 yards on 3 catches.
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The Ravens’ defense allowed just 29 rushing yards on 11 attempts in their 28-14 win over the Steelers. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, they held Pittsburgh to 251 yards through the air. Baltimore’s defense recorded four sacks and held the Steelers to a 45.5% third-down conversion rate.
They finished the game with 280 total yards allowed and a yards per attempt of 8.4 in the passing game.
Baltimore also had six more quarterback hits than Pittsburgh in the game.
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo finished the regular season 13-4, putting them 2nd in the AFC and 3rd in our power rankings. They went 5-1 in division games and 10-3 in conference play.
The Bills were a perfect 9-0 at home but just 5-4 on the road.
Buffalo has a +10.1 scoring margin and is 11-7 against the spread. They are 9-5 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 11-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Their games have averaged 51.7 points, with an average line of 46.4.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Josh Allen was excellent in the Wild Card round, posting a passer rating of 135 after throwing for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20/26 passing. Curtis Samuel led the team with 68 receiving yards on 3 catches, while James Cook rushed for 120 yards on 23 carries.
The Bills’ offense converted 53.3% of their third downs but struggled in the red zone, going just 1/5.
Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.9, and sits 9th in passing yards per game with 229.8. They also rank 9th in rushing, with 135.6 yards per game, on 29.7 attempts per contest. Despite being 5th in red zone attempts, they rank 30th in red zone conversion percentage.
Buffalo’s defense was excellent on third downs in their 31-7 win over the Broncos, allowing just a 22.2% conversion rate. They held Denver to 79 yards on 17 rushing attempts, and the Broncos finished with only 224 total yards.
The Bills’ defense also recorded two sacks and limited the Broncos to 145 passing yards.
Despite giving up one passing touchdown, the Bills defended the pass well, allowing just 60.9% completions. Buffalo also won the tackles for loss battle, finishing with a +1 differential.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bills are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bills have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bills’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Bills Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -108 | -117 | +1 | -1 |
| Bills | -112 | -102 | -1 | +1 |
4* Free NFL Playoff Betting Prediction: Buffalo +1
The Bills defense has been stout, their offense dynamic, and they’ve had the luxury of resting key players in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled in January games, going 3-8 straight up in their last 11, raising questions about their ability to deliver in clutch playoff moments.
For this playoff matchup between the Ravens and Bills, we have the Bills pulling out the win and covering the +1 spread. We have them winning by a score of 27-21.
For the over/under line, with the line sitting at 51.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 48.
The Ravens may have the historical edge, but Buffalo’s recent form and dominant home record cannot be overlooked.
With the line set at just -1 for Baltimore and a total of 51.5, this is shaping up to be a thrilling, high-stakes contest.
Expect fireworks from Jackson and Allen as these two AFC powerhouses battle for a spot in the conference championship.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
That’s our quarterback.#GoBills | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/bD2WzY3CXP
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 15, 2025
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