Free Week 12 Prediction: Falcons vs. Commanders NFL Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Commanders on Sunday, November 27th, 2022 at FedEx Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Washington Matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
Atlanta Falcons (5-6) vs. Washington Commanders (6-5)
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: FedEx Field, Washington, D.C.
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: Falcons +170 | Commanders -195 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: Falcons +4| Commanders -4
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.0
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The road Falcons come into this one off a 27-24 win at home over the Chicago Bears. They entered that one as 2.5-point favorites and covered for the first time in five outings.
The home Commanders come into this one off a 23-10 win on the road over the Houston Texans. They entered that one as a 3-point favorites and covered for the sixth time in as many outings.
These two teams last faced off a season ago in a Sunday, Oct. 3 showdown that saw Atlanta fumble away home-field advantage and losing straight up 34-30. All-time, Washington leads this series 16-10-1; although it should be noted Atlanta is 6-1 in the last 7 overall.
The Falcons are 7-4 against the spread through 11 games here in 2022, while the Commanders are 6-4-1.
Atlanta Falcons
On the year, the Falcons are 3-2 against the spread as the road team and 1-4 on the moneyline.
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS as underdogs, and the team is 3-5 as underdogs.
Entering Sunday, the Falcons rank 12th in points scored at 23.5 per game, while ranking 27th in points allowed at 24.9.
Through the air, Atlanta collects 154.5 yards per game, putting it in the No. 31 spot this season, only ranking them one spot ahead of the dead last Chicago Bears.
On the ground, the Falcons run up 159.4 yards per game, putting them in the No. 3 spot this season. That ranking is only behind the No. 2 Baltimore Ravens and No. 1 Bears.
Washington Commanders
On the year, the Commanders are 2-2-1 against the spread as the home team and also 3-0 ATS as the favorite.
Against the moneyline, Washington is 2-3 as the home team and 3-0 as the favorite.
Entering Sunday, the Commanders rank 23rd in points scored at 19.5 points per contest, while ranking 12th in points allowed at 20.3 points per contest.
Through the air, Washington collects 209.8 yards per game, putting it in the No. 12 spot this season.
On the ground, the Commanders run up 116.1 yards per game, putting them in the No. 17 spot this season.
Defensively, this group gives up 204.9 yards per game passing, ranking them 12th. On the ground, the Commanders give up 103.1 yards per game—a number that’s good enough for 6th at this point in the year.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
- Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 45-21 ATS in their last 66 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Under is 6-1 in Commanders last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Commanders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-2 in Falcons last 10 games following a straight up win.
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +4
Both teams are in the playoff hunt here and I just can’t help myself but go with road underdogs. Even with Taylor Heinicke earning and OWNING the staring QB spot last week.
Atlanta did suffer a big loss in its latest win. Tight End Kyle Pitts suffered an injury tearing his MCL and is out indefinitely. But this team is equipped to cover, and I like their desperation with the postseason looming.
Give this one to the desperate Falcons in desperate fashion.
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