Free NFL Pick: Falcons vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Saints on 11/23 at Caesars Superdome, in New Orleans. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Falcons Saints free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
(3-7) Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (2-8)
Date: Nov 23, 2025
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA
NFL Moneyline Odds: Falcons +105 | Saints -125 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Falcons +1.5 | Saints -1.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 39.5
Here’s why I’m backing an Atlanta ATS bet below in my Falcons Saints free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Saints Gameday
The Falcons head to the Caesars Superdome to meet the Saints. The Falcons, under the guidance of head coach Raheem Morris, face a tough challenge. They currently hold a record of 3-7-0, with a division record of 0-3-0.
The New Orleans Saints, led by head coach Kellen Moore, are also navigating a challenging season with a record of 2-8-0.
In contrast to the Falcons, their division record stands at 1-1-0. This game provides an opportunity for both teams to gain traction in the NFC South. In recent encounters, the Saints have edged out the Falcons more often than not, including a 20-17 result last November.
However, the Falcons have also claimed victories, as seen in their 26-24 win during the previous year’s Week 4. Both teams are looking to capitalize on this rivalry to improve their standings. For fans, the game at the Caesars Superdome promises an interesting matchup between two NFC South teams.
With weather conditions described as ‘light rain’ outside, the dome setting ensures no impact from the elements. Viewers can catch the action live on FOX at 4:25 PM.
Week 12, Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Odds & Last 5
The odds for this game slightly favor the Saints, with a moneyline of -128 compared to the Falcons’ +108. The spread is also close, with the Saints at -1.5 and the Falcons at +1.5. This suggests a tight contest, reflecting the recent performances of both teams.
Recently, the Falcons have struggled, dropping their last three games, including a narrow 24-23 loss to the Patriots. However, they did manage a 24-14 victory over the Bills a few weeks prior. On the other hand, the Saints recently snapped a losing streak with a 17-7 win against the Panthers.
Past encounters between these two teams have often been close. Notably, the Saints narrowly won their last meeting 20-17, while the Falcons secured a victory in their previous clash.
This history adds another layer of intrigue to today’s game.
Saints Stats
Starting with the New Orleans Saints’ offensive performance, the team ranks 23rd in both scoring and passing yards from the previous season. They managed 3,488 passing yards and scored 338 points. However, their rushing attack was slightly better, ranking 14th with 1,954 yards.
On the defensive side, the Saints have shown strength in certain areas. They are ranked 10th in sacks with 39 and 6th in interceptions with 14. Yet, they struggled to contain opponent yardage, ranking 30th by allowing 6,459 yards.
Recently, the Saints secured a 17-7 victory over the Carolina Panthers, which could provide some momentum. Tyler Shough was a key player, completing 19 passes for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chris Olave also made significant contributions with 104 receiving yards and a touchdown.
The Saints face several injury challenges, particularly on their offensive line. Key players like Will Clapp and Erik McCoy are out for the season.
Kendre Miller’s absence due to a torn ACL further impacts the team’s depth at running back.
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Falcons Stats
The Atlanta Falcons come into this matchup with a challenging season, having lost their last three games. Their recent defeat against the New England Patriots was a close one, ending 24-23. This game saw Michael Penix Jr. throw for 221 yards and three touchdowns, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win.
The Falcons’ offense has been productive in the passing game, ranking 5th in the league last season with 4,068 passing yards. Drake London has been a key player, leading the team with 810 receiving yards and six touchdowns. However, the team will miss his presence due to a knee injury, which could impact their passing attack.
On the defensive side, Atlanta has struggled, allowing 423 points last season, ranking them 22nd in the league. They have managed to recover 12 interceptions, which ranks them 8th, showing some ability to create turnovers. Yet, they will need to tighten their defense to stop the Saints’ offense effectively.
Finally, injuries have plagued the Falcons, with key players like Michael Penix Jr. and Drake London out for this game. Kirk Cousins is expected to start at quarterback, projected to throw for 213.7 yards and 1.5 touchdowns.
The Falcons will rely heavily on Bijan Robinson, who is projected for 81.6 rushing yards, to carry the offensive load in this crucial division matchup.
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Falcons vs. Saints QB Matchup
Tyler Shough, the starting quarterback for the New Orleans Saints, has shown consistency in his performance this season. He averages 227.9 passing yards per game and has thrown for 1.6 touchdowns per game. His ability to avoid interceptions, with none projected for this game, highlights his careful decision-making on the field.
In the regular season, Shough has played four games, accumulating 586 passing yards. He has also thrown three touchdowns and two interceptions, indicating a balanced but cautious approach. As the Saints prepare for their game against the Falcons, Shough’s steady hand will be crucial in navigating their offensive strategy.
Kirk Cousins, leading the Atlanta Falcons, brings experience and precision to the quarterback position. With an average of 213.7 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game, Cousins remains a reliable asset for the Falcons’ offense. Despite not throwing any interceptions in the projected stats, his ability to manage the game effectively is evident.
Throughout the regular season, Cousins has participated in four games, contributing 250 passing yards. Although he has yet to throw a touchdown or interception, his presence in the lineup provides stability and leadership.
As the Falcons face the Saints, Cousins’ experience will be a key factor in their offensive execution.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints bottom line: Both teams have struggled this season, but the Saints’ passing game and Shough’s leadership give them a slight edge in this matchup.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons have been perfect against the spread as underdogs in their last 4 regular season games, going 4-0.
- They have also hit the over in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss, with one push.
- Overall, the Falcons have hit the over in their last 3 games.
- Additionally, the Saints have gone 2-1 straight up in their last 3 games with totals of 42 or less.
- They have also covered the spread in 2 of those 3 games with similar totals.
- However, the Saints are 1-3 on the over/under in their last 4 home games.
Falcons Saints Free Pick: Falcons +105 (Parlay with ML)
Here is my Falcons Saints free pick. Atlanta have shown a strong ability to cover the spread as underdogs, going 4-0 in their last four games in that role.
This suggests they perform well when not expected to win, making them a tempting choice for an upset in this matchup.
Their ability to stay competitive, especially when facing tough odds, makes them a solid pick.
Despite their struggles this season, the Falcons have been successful at hitting the over, particularly after a loss. This trend indicates they can put up points and remain in the game, even when things aren’t going their way.
Meanwhile, New Orleans have struggled, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They are also 2-12 SU in their last 14 games, showcasing their inability to maintain consistent form. Additionally, the Saints are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played in November, further indicating their troubles during this time of year.
At home, the Saints have been inconsistent, going 1-3 on the over/under in their last four games at the Superdome. This lack of consistency at home could work in the Falcons’ favor.
Given the Falcons’ recent success as underdogs and the Saints’ struggles at home, taking the Falcons ATS +1.5 and a small side play on their moneyline at +108 offers value in this matchup.
The Falcons’ ability to perform in these situations makes them a solid pick for an upset here.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Prep. pic.twitter.com/o72mfvcSDr
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 20, 2025
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