Free Super Bowl 51 ATS Prediction: Falcons vs Patriots
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots free picks & NFL ATS odds? Super Bowl 51 NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Patriots on Sunday February 5 at NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
Super Bowl 51
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sunday February 5
Time: 6:30 PM
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Super Bowl 51 ATS Betting Lines: New England Patriots -3
Super Bowl 51 Moneyline Odds: Patriots -160, Falcons +135
Super Bowl 51 Betting Over / Under (Total): 58.5
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This is old hat for the Patriots who regularly find themselves playing for the title. Though there is some extra Goodell/Brady drama this time around.
Getting this far is new territory for Atlanta. They have ridden a supreme offense all this way and I think they can give the Pats a game.
Kick off is set for 6:30 PM ET with Matt Ryan looking to join that select group of quarterbacks who have won a Super Bowl. Even though we are up to 51 there are not so many of them.
Julio Jones is the most dangerous offensive weapon in the league right now.
No matter who is covering him his athleticism enables him to get open and pairing him with a slick quarterback like Matty Ice can make him unstoppable.
If he is featured the Falcons will move the ball and score some point.
I also think they will be able to move the ball on the ground with their wicked RB duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. The fact these guys are the top scoring offense in the NFL is no fluke.
The true test for Atlanta will be in whether they can slow down the Pats when they have the ball. There is a good reason the total is the highest in Super Bowl history.
The Falcons have some talent on defense but against Green Bay the Packers did move the ball on them. Their own mistakes kind of buried them early.
Backing the underdog is looking pretty appealing right now.
New England Patriots
The Patriots are not perfect but if you play them at Gillette Stadium in the playoffs your chances of winning are limited.
They made somewhat easy work of the Steelers last Sunday to set up yet another trip to the Super Bowl.
Brady was at his very best against Pittsburgh not only performing at a high level but making a star out of a player that nobody has ever heard of in Chris Hogan, who is a great story even if he never had his moment.
Brady is not perfect in Super Bowls but he had a great comeback game after being mediocre against Houston.
On defense New England is all about keeping thing in front of them and not letting you hit any big plays.
They got some luck last week in that Le’Veon Bell was not as much of a factor due to injury but won’t get rest with the backs the Falcons have.
Matty Ice has never been in a game this big so look for the Pats to try and rattle or confuse him or both.
They did a nice job on Antonio Brown last week but Julio Jones is a totally different kind of receiver.
Super Bowl 51 ATS & O/U Betting Trends:
- Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Patriots are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Falcons last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
4* Free Super Bowl 51 ATS Betting Prediction: Atlanta +3
Of course the Pats are going to be the favourite but I would actually rate these teams about even. New England has the better defense but I don’t see how they are going to stop Atlanta with regularity.
NFL Free Score Prediction: Atlanta 33 – New England 28
There are only going to be a few stops in this one and I think the breaks will go the Falcons way. Looking to sprinkle some on the moneyline too.
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