
Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Falcons vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Panthers on Sunday, December 17th at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(6-7) Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers (1-12)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta -3 | Carolina +3
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta -167 | Carolina +137
NFL Betting Total: O/U 35
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2023 NFL Opening Day, do you remember it? I do. The Falcons and Panthers faced off for the first time, and it was Falcons who clinched a 24-10 win. On the point-spread, the Falcons went in as the favorite (-3.5) and they secured a 14 point win, picking up an ATS win.
The over/under line going into the game was 40.5 points, which the teams fell short of.
Bijan Robinson had a remarkable debut, scoring a touchdown reception and setting up another scoring play with a long run. The eighth overall selection in the 2023 NFL draft made a big entrance, stealing the spotlight from the NFL’s top pick.
This gave the Atlanta rookie early bragging rights over Carolina’s Bryce Young as the Falcons started their season with an impressive victory.
However, it wasn’t all smooth sailing for the Ridder at QB. This game was a challenge for him too! He faced four sacks and concluded the game with a 15-of-18 passing record, accumulating only 116 yards. What’s in store this week?
Looking at the NFL Historical Matchup between the Panthers vs. Falcons. The Panthers have a historical record of 21 wins and 35 losses against the Falcons.
When playing at home, Carolina has won 13 games and lost 15, while on the road, they have secured 8 wins and lost 21.
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Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons currently hold the 2nd spot in the NFC-South this season, with an overall record of 6-7. In games outside their conference, they have a 2-2 record, and in NFC games, they have a NFC record.
The Falcons have a 4-9 record against the spread this season.
Even though the Falcons’ did a good job moving the ball on offense, racking up 23 first-downs, they still lost the Buccaneers. Overall, the Falcons finished with 434 yards of offense.
On the other side, the Buccaneers rushed for 148 and threw for 142 yards. Atlanta also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 1.5 point favorites. Quarterback Desmond Ridder threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Ridder completed 65% of his passes for 347 yards.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Versus the Buccaneers, the Falcons finished with 26 rushing attempts, and Tyler Allgeier led the way with 40 yards. Meanwhile, Ridder had 40 pass attempts, resulting in 347 yards and a passer rating of 90.
Offensively, the Falcons have an average of 19.3 points per game, which is 21st in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Falcons currently hold the 16th position in tackles for loss and rank 16th in sacks.
Opponents are averaging 20.7 points and 313.9 yards per game against them.
Matches within the division are consistently challenging, but it’s crucial for HOTLANTA to recognize the importance of delivering a top-notch performance when it matters most.
They have to avoid mental errors, which have proven costly for them in numerous games. I don’t think Atlanta has it in them! At least they haven’t proven it to me.
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers come into their matchup against the Falcons with a 1-12 record. In the NFC-South, they are 4th and 16th in NFC overall standings.
Their ATS record stands at 2-9-2, and they have been the underdog in all of their games.
In their defeat against the Saints, Carolina had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter. The Panthers concluded the game with 303 yards on offense, while allowing 207 on defense. Carolina’s 22 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 5.5 point underdogs.
Bryce Young did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 13 of 36 passes for 137 yards. Young ended the game with a passer rating of 48.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Young threw for 137 yards while completing 36% of his passes. On the ground, the Panthers rushed the ball 39 times for 204 yards.
The team’s third-down performance stood at 8/20.
On offense, the Panthers are averaging 15.2 points per game, putting them 27th in the NFL.
So far the Panthers’ defense has given up an average of 298.4 yards per game and 26.2 points per contest (26th).
Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 64.5% and have given up 16 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 22nd in the NFL.
In my opinion Young surpasses Ridder, and the Panthers boast a superior defense.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -145 | -167 | -2.5 | -3 |
| Panthers | +122 | +137 | +2.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +3
If you want to know about Week 15 betting trends for the Falcons vs. Panthers game, I’ve got you covered. Atlanta hasn’t been doing well recently, with a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 games and a 2-4 SU record in their last 6 games.
On the road, they’ve struggled even more with a 2-10 SU record in their last 12 away games.
Even as 3 point underdogs at home, I’m backing them to cover against Atlanta. CALL ME CRAZY! The Panthers held the Saints to 3/10 on 3rd down, and if they can do that to Atlanta (a similar %) they’ll be OK in this one. But let’s not talk about the spread much.
My big play for Sunday is going to be the total.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Atlanta and Carolina combining for 33 points.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 35, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
Now, if you’re interested in the over/under trends for this matchup, here’s what you need to know. Carolina’s games have mostly gone UNDER, with 6 out of their last 7 hitting the UNDER, and 5 out of 7 against Atlanta also going UNDER.
When playing at home, ALL of Carolina’s recent games have gone UNDER. Similarly, 13 out of Atlanta’s last 19 games have gone UNDER, and 5 out of 6 when playing on the road against Carolina have also gone UNDER.
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Falcons Panthers NFL Handicapping
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thursday reps‼️ pic.twitter.com/xc9D4rW0HW
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) December 14, 2023
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