Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Mountaineers vs. Bears CBB Odds
Looking for West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Baylor Bears NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Mountaineers taking on the Bears on Saturday February 15 at the Value City Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Mountaineers Bears matchup.
2019-2020 NCAA Basketball
(18-6) West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Baylor Bears (22-1)
Date: Saturday February 15
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Venue: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
CBB Moneyline Odds: OFF
CBB Betting Odds: Baylor -6
CBB Betting Total: 129
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West Virginia Mountaineers
As has been preached by me before, West Virginia has the best defense in the nation.All-in-all, no one is quite as long, athletic, and ultimately as stifling as the Mountaineers are on that side of the court.
The only team that allows a lower effective FG% against is Memphis. The only team that allows a lower 3pt FG% against is Arkansas. The only team that has a lower KenPom adjusted defense is Kansas. The Mountaineers have the third best DRtg and are 15th in points allowed per game.
However, they have been struggling on the offensive side of the ball. The Mountaineers are 223rd in the country in 2pt%, 310th in 3p%, 331st in FT%, which all adds up to an effective FG% of 47.2, which is 276th in the nation.
Additionally, they’ve been especially bad in their last two games, where they put up 59 and 49 in a road loss to Oklahoma and a home loss to Kansas, respectively. Those two losses has dropped West Virginia behind Texas Tech in the Big 12, which i snot something they need right now.
However, they’re still 14th in the AP Poll and are in line for a three-seed in the Big Dance. They also still have a dominant frontcourt, as Derek Culver and Oscar Tshiebwe combined are averaging 22/18 on over 50% from the field while adding 2 blocks.
West Virginia has the best defense in the nation, BUT:
The Baylor Bears are the best team in college basketball! And it’s not even really close.
The Bears are on a 21-game win streak and are still undefeated in conference play (11-0). They’ve beaten eight KenPom top-50 teams, are 15-8 ATS on the year, are 22nd in KenPom adjusted offense and 5th in KenPom adjusted defense. They are plowing through the NCAA.
Between their stifling defense and their unreal guard play, they probably have the best shot at cutting down the nets come April. I know i’m picking them in my bracket.
Free West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Baylor Bears NCAAB Prediction:
Baylor’s opening as 5-point favorites, give or take. If that’s where it stays, I bet the first half line opens at around -3 or -3.5.
Baylor has been nails recently in the first half. I’ve been hammering their first half lines constantly and they always seem to hit.
And, the stats seem to support my gambling habits! According to TeamRankings, Baylor’s first half team margin this season is +8.3, and at home it’s +12. Plus-twelve.
Also, despite West Virginia’s stout defense, Baylor is a different beast. They are having an incredible year that should be capped with a National Championship.
And, not to mention West Virginia isn’t even all that good on the road. They’re 1-4 on the road in conference play this season, with losses to Kansas State and Oklahoma. They even have a non-conference road loss to St. John’s!
And, you expect them to come into Waco and cover against the God-Damn Baylor Bears. No chance.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Baylor 1H -3.5 and Baylor -7.5
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