Free NCAAB Pick: Raiders vs. Red Storm Odds
Looking for Colgate Raiders vs. St. John’s Red Storm Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Raiders taking on the Red Storm on 11/11 at Carnesecca Arena, in Queens, NY. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Raiders Red Storm matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Colgate Raiders vs St. John’s Red Storm
Raiders +26.5 | Red Storm -26.5Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Raiders Red Storm free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Raiders vs. Red Storm Gameday
The Colgate Raiders visit the No. 13 St. John’s Red Storm on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at Carnesecca Arena in Queens. Tipoff is scheduled for 7 PM ET on Peacock.
Colgate enters at 0-2 under Matt Langel.
The Raiders have opened with consecutive road losses. They’ve competed offensively, but defensive mistakes have kept them from finishing either game. Another difficult assignment awaits in Queens.
Rick Pitino’s Red Storm are 2-0.
St. John’s has the deeper roster, and Colgate won’t get much sympathy from Pitino’s bench.
The Johnnies have beaten Monmouth and Iona to start the season. Their defensive pressure has already caused problems for opposing guards.
St. John’s has won 21 straight games against New York State opponents.
The Red Storm lead the all-time series 6-2. They’ve won five consecutive meetings, including an 82-64 victory in December 2021. Colgate hasn’t beaten St. John’s since 1966.
It’s the Raiders’ third straight road game.
St. John’s wants another convincing home performance before facing Syracuse. Colgate needs to handle the Red Storm’s athleticism without allowing the game to get away early.
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Colgate Raiders vs. St. John’s Red Storm Odds & Previous Games
Colgate opened at +26.5 against the spread, with St. John’s favored by 26.5. The Raiders were listed at +6250 on the moneyline and the Red Storm at -50000. The opening total is 156.5.
Colgate opened with a 90-76 loss at Washington.
The Raiders followed with a 77-74 defeat at Drexel. They surrendered an 11-point second-half lead after putting themselves in position to win.
St. John’s defeated Monmouth 78-63 in its opener.
The Red Storm followed with a 104-65 victory over Iona. They shot 55% from the floor and 46% from three-point range. Their offense looked considerably sharper in that second outing.
Both Colgate games have finished above 150 combined points.
St. John’s has produced two different kinds of victories. One required patience against Monmouth, while the other became a runaway against Iona.
The large spread reflects the difference in roster strength.
The total asks a different question. St. John’s can dominate the game without necessarily slowing the scoring pace, particularly if Colgate continues taking plenty of shots.
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Red Storm Stats
St. John’s averages 91 points through two games. The Red Storm have combined productive offense with aggressive perimeter defense.
Keyshawn Hall leads the team with 19.5 points and 6.5 rebounds per game.
Tounde Yessoufou adds 17.5 points and six rebounds. His athleticism gives Pitino another dangerous option around the basket.
Quinn Ellis averages nine assists.
St. John’s has forced 37 turnovers in two games. Those mistakes have produced 47 points for the Red Storm. That’s a useful way to score without waiting for the half-court offense to cooperate.
The Johnnies have also recorded 23 steals.
Their defensive activity creates opportunities in transition. Opponents have struggled to establish consistent possessions against that pressure.
Donnie Freeman is sidelined with an Achilles injury.
His absence limits the frontcourt rotation, although St. John’s still has considerable size. Pitino can use multiple combinations without abandoning his defensive approach.
Raiders Stats
Colgate averages 75 points per game. The Raiders are shooting 40.9% from the field, but their willingness to attempt shots hasn’t disappeared.
Andrew Alekseyenko leads the team with 22.5 points and 12.5 rebounds per game.
He has opened the season with consecutive double-doubles. Alekseyenko scored 25 against Washington and 20 against Drexel. His rebounding gives Colgate an important presence around the basket.
Alekseyenko is 7-for-11 from three-point range.
Sam Wright scored 21 points against Drexel. He gives Langel another offensive option when defenses concentrate on Alekseyenko.
The Raiders attempted 36 three-pointers against Drexel.
They made 13 after connecting on seven against Washington. That perimeter volume gives Colgate scoring potential, although cold stretches can become expensive.
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Colgate has averaged 21.5 personal fouls through two games. Its defensive discipline needs improvement against a more athletic opponent.
Protecting possessions will also be important.
The Raiders cannot afford to hand St. John’s easy opportunities. Their offensive production means considerably less if they spend the evening defending fast breaks.
Colgate Raiders vs. St. John’s Red Storm bottom line: St. John’s has the defensive pressure and roster depth to control this matchup, while Colgate needs efficient shooting to remain competitive.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Colgate | St. John’s |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 75.0 (238th) | 91.0 (65th) |
| FG % | 40.9 (306th) | 48.8 (104th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 34.5 (172nd) | 39.6 (66th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 29.0 (112th) | 24.0 (275th) |
Colgate Raiders vs. St. John’s Red Storm Basketball Betting Trends
- The Raiders have not won any of their last 2 games straight up.
- Also, Colgate is 1-1 against the spread as an underdog.
- The Raiders have hit the over in both of their games this season.
- The Red Storm have won both of their games straight up as favorites.
- Additionally, St. John’s is 1-1 against the spread as a favorite.
- The Red Storm’s total has gone over in one of their two games.
Raiders Red Storm Free Pick: Over 156.5
Here is my Raiders Red Storm free pick: I’m taking Over 156.5. St. John’s has the firepower to put a serious dent in this number by itself, and Colgate doesn’t need to keep the game close to help cash it. That’s an important distinction when the favorite is laying more than 26 points.
What I like is the possibility of a lopsided game that still produces steady scoring. If the Johnnies build an early lead, Colgate has little reason to slow down and protect a respectable losing margin.
I’m betting on points, not asking Colgate to perform a miracle in Queens.
The danger is a second-half scoring drought once Pitino starts using his bench. That’s real, but the Raiders should still get opportunities against reserve combinations, and I expect the Red Storm to keep attacking rather than spend 20 minutes killing the clock.
I’m not chasing an Over because two November box scores looked pretty.
The bet makes sense when the favorite can carry the scoring load and the underdog has a realistic path to contributing its share.
Give me a productive first half and enough offense after the game gets out of hand.
I’ll ride with Raiders Red Storm Over 156.5.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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St. John’s Red Storm on X
GAMEDAY 🔴⛈️
🆚 Colgate
🏟️ Carnesecca Arena
🕖 7 p.m.
📺 @peacock
📻 ESPN NY App
🎟️ https://t.co/ulq4XtYhCh#RedStorm https://t.co/GbMQ2eMbWt
— St. John’s Men’s Basketball (@StJohnsBBall) November 11, 2026
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