Free NCAAB Pick: Bobcats vs. Cougars Odds
Looking for Montana State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Bobcats taking on the Cougars on 11/12 at Marriott Center, in Provo, UT. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Bobcats Cougars matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Montana State Bobcats vs BYU Cougars
Bobcats +22.5 | Cougars -22.5Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Bobcats Cougars free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Bobcats vs. Cougars Gameday
The Montana State Bobcats visit the No. 23 BYU Cougars on Thursday, November 12, 2026, at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah. Tipoff is scheduled for 9 PM ET on ESPN+. Montana State enters at 1-1 under Matt Logie. The Bobcats are coming off their first victory of the season.
They face their first ranked opponent since 2023.
Montana State brings experience to Provo, but BYU hasn’t been particularly generous to visiting teams.
The Bobcats defeated Long Beach State 83-70 on Saturday. Jeremiah Davis delivered 17 points and 10 rebounds, earning Big Sky Player of the Week honors for his early performances.
BYU is 3-0 under Kevin Young. The Cougars have won twice at home and once on a neutral court.
BYU has won 28 consecutive nonconference home games.
The Cougars defeated Queens 98-82 on Tuesday. Five BYU players scored in double figures, giving Young another encouraging performance from his rotation.
These programs haven’t met since November 1987.
BYU leads the all-time series 37-27, including 22-9 in Provo. The Cougars won that previous meeting 90-89, and the Bobcats now return for the first matchup between these programs in 39 years.
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Montana State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars Odds & Previous Games
BYU is favored by 22.5 points, with Montana State getting +22.5. The total is 164.5 points.
Montana State split its opening two games.
The Bobcats lost 84-74 at Colorado State before beating Long Beach State. Their early results show an offense capable of producing points, although the defensive assignment becomes considerably tougher Thursday.
BYU has won all three games by double digits.
The Cougars opened with a 94-83 victory over Ohio State on a neutral court before routing Omaha 108-67. They’ve reached at least 94 points in every game, establishing themselves as a dangerous offensive team.
Montana State competes in the Big Sky, while BYU represents the Big 12.
The Bobcats were picked to win their conference in the preseason and aren’t arriving without expectations. Still, the Cougars have the deeper roster and a substantial home-court advantage.
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Cougars Stats
BYU averages 100 points through its first three games. The Cougars have shot better than 54% from the field, combining efficient finishing with strong ball movement. Their offensive balance has been difficult for opponents to contain.
Three-point shooting has been a major weapon.
BYU has made nearly 15 threes per game, connecting on approximately 46% of its attempts. The Cougars hit 17 against Queens, including 12 in the first half.
Robert Wright III leads BYU with 25 points per game.
Wright scored 33 against Ohio State and added 21 points and six assists against Queens. His ability to create shots has made him the centerpiece of Kevin Young’s backcourt.
Jaxon Kohler leads BYU in rebounding.
Kohler averages more than seven boards per game, giving the Cougars a reliable presence inside. Bruce Branch III has also contributed to their scoring depth.
Nate Pickens remains an active contributor.
Pickens scored 15 points against Queens, matching Kohler and Branch. That production gives BYU additional options when opponents concentrate their defensive attention on Wright.
Bobcats Stats
Montana State averages 78.5 points through two games. The Bobcats have shot approximately 46% from the field, showing respectable offensive efficiency. Their ability to sustain that production against stronger competition remains an important question. Outside shooting has been a strength.
The Bobcats average more than 11 made three-pointers per game. That gives them a useful scoring option when defenses make it difficult to attack the basket.
Jeremiah Davis averages 17 points and 7.5 rebounds. Davis is shooting 64.7% from the field and averaging 2.5 steals. His all-around production has made him Montana State’s most consistent early performer.
Montana State has capable shooters, but keeping BYU out of transition is a much bigger assignment.
Rebounding is an area Montana State needs to improve.
The Bobcats average approximately 33 boards per game. Stronger defensive rebounding would help limit second-chance opportunities against a more talented opponent.
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Montana State has experienced players throughout its rotation.
Jed Miller, Cavin Holden and Christian King provide additional offensive options. The Bobcats will need contributions beyond Davis to remain competitive for extended stretches.
Montana State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars bottom line: BYU has the offensive talent and home-court advantage, while Montana State needs disciplined defense and consistent contributions throughout its rotation.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Montana State | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 78.5 (206th) | 100.0 (21st) |
| FG % | 45.8 (185th) | 54.7 (14th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 37.1 (112th) | 45.8 (11th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 31.0 (69th) | 32.0 (55th) |
Montana State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars Basketball Betting Trends
- Montana State is 1-0 straight up when playing as a favorite this season.
- Plus, the Bobcats have covered the spread in both of their games, showing a 2-0 ATS record.
- Montana State has hit the over in their last two games, with a 2-0 record on totals.
- BYU has a perfect 3-0 straight up record in all games this season.
- Also, the Cougars are 2-1 against the spread when favored this season.
- BYU has seen the over hit in 2 of their last 3 games, with a 2-1 record on totals.
Bobcats Cougars Free Pick: Over 164.5
Here is my Bobcats Cougars free pick: I’m betting Over 164.5. This is a big number, but BYU has the offensive talent to do most of the heavy lifting. Montana State doesn’t need to win the shooting contest; it needs to contribute enough to keep the scoreboard moving.
The 22.5-point spread is the biggest concern. A blowout could drain the pace late, but BYU can build a large lead without slowing the game to a crawl.
I’m not asking Montana State to scare BYU. I’m asking the Bobcats to score.
The path I like is BYU attacking early and forcing the visitors to answer with quicker possessions. That creates opportunities at both ends, even if the Cougars control the game throughout.
There’s no room for a prolonged scoring drought at this total. I need the Bobcats contributing into the second half, not watching BYU put on a one-team shooting clinic.
I’m willing to accept that risk with this matchup.
Give me a game where BYU dictates the pace and Montana State keeps firing.
My college hoops betting system has me on the Over 164.5.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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BYU Cougars on X
smooth with it😮💨 https://t.co/829UponQ8z
— BYU Men’s Basketball (@BYUMBB) November 12, 2026
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