Free NCAAB Pick: Colonials vs. Razorbacks Odds
Looking for Robert Morris Colonials vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Colonials taking on the Razorbacks on 11/11 at Bud Walton Arena, in Fayetteville, AR. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Colonials Razorbacks matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Robert Morris Colonials vs Arkansas Razorbacks
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Colonials Razorbacks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Colonials vs. Razorbacks Gameday
The Robert Morris Colonials visit the No. 19 Arkansas Razorbacks on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville. Tipoff is scheduled for 8 PM ET on SEC Network+. Andy Toole’s Colonials enter at 0-2.
Robert Morris has opened with consecutive road defeats. The Colonials have struggled offensively and now face their toughest opponent yet. Not exactly the ideal schedule for finding some confidence.
John Calipari’s Razorbacks stand at 1-1.
Arkansas wants a bounce-back performance, and Robert Morris drew the short straw.
The Hogs return home after losing to Virginia in Washington, D.C. Calipari has plenty of young talent, but that defeat exposed areas needing attention.
Arkansas is playing its second home game of the season.
The Razorbacks won their opener comfortably before stumbling against ranked competition. Their roster has considerable athleticism, although the rotation is still developing.
These programs have met once before.
Arkansas won that December 2012 encounter in Fayetteville. Wednesday gives the Razorbacks another opportunity to protect their home court while Robert Morris continues a demanding road trip.
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Robert Morris Colonials vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Odds & Previous Games
Robert Morris was listed at +31.5 against the spread, with Arkansas favored by 31.5. The supplied total is 157.5 points, creating a significant difference between the expected winning margin and combined scoring requirement.
The Colonials opened with an 86-49 loss at Nevada.
They followed with a 79-56 defeat at UIC. Robert Morris led 32-30 at halftime before being outscored 49-24 after the break.
Arkansas opened with a 106-61 victory over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
The Razorbacks followed with a 91-72 loss to No. 9 Virginia. A difficult finish to the first half left Arkansas facing a substantial deficit. The teams matched each other after halftime, but the damage was done.
Robert Morris has lost its first two games by a combined 60 points.
The Colonials have been competitive in stretches without sustaining that effort. Arkansas has already demonstrated its ability to punish weaker opposition.
The spread makes Arkansas an overwhelming favorite.
The total presents a separate betting decision. A dominant performance from the home team doesn’t necessarily require both offenses to produce at a high level.
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Razorbacks Stats
Arkansas averages 89 points through two games. The Razorbacks are shooting 50.4% from the field, with several players capable of carrying the offense.
Jordan Smith Jr. leads Arkansas with 19.5 points per game.
The freshman is shooting better than 50% from the floor. He also averages 3.5 steals, giving Calipari an aggressive defender who can create scoring chances.
Jeremiah Wilkinson contributes 17 points per contest.
Wilkinson has made seven of his first 13 three-point attempts. His perimeter shooting adds another dimension to an offense built around athleticism and attacking the basket.
Billy Richmond III provides additional versatility.
Richmond contributed 11 points, seven rebounds and three blocks against Virginia. His ability to defend multiple positions gives Arkansas another useful option.
The Razorbacks average 16 offensive rebounds per game.
Those second chances help sustain possessions when the first shot doesn’t fall. Arkansas also has the personnel to finish effectively around the rim.
Free-throw shooting needs improvement. The Razorbacks have converted 68.3% of their attempts. Calipari will want better execution as the competition increases.
Colonials Stats
Robert Morris averages 52.5 points per game. The Colonials are shooting 33% from the field, leaving them with little margin for offensive mistakes. KJ Garris Jr. leads Robert Morris with 13.5 points per contest. Garris scored 16 against Nevada and 11 against UIC.
He has provided some consistency for a team still searching for dependable production.
Ta’Zir Smith contributes 7.5 points per game.
Eddie Cooke III adds 5.5 points and five rebounds. Cooke scored eight against UIC and remains part of Toole’s perimeter rotation.
Ball security has been a serious concern.
The Colonials average 19.5 turnovers against just 11 assists. Their inability to maintain clean possessions has repeatedly disrupted the offense.
Robert Morris averages 3.5 steals and two blocks.
Those defensive numbers reflect a team struggling to create disruption. The Colonials have also had trouble preventing opponents from establishing favorable scoring opportunities.
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Rebounding presents another challenge. Robert Morris averages 33.5 boards, and its early opponents have enjoyed an advantage on the glass.
Toole needs a more disciplined performance.
His team must improve its shot selection while limiting unnecessary fouls. Otherwise, the Razorbacks will have opportunities to dictate the tempo from the opening minutes.
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Arkansas Razorbacks bottom line: Arkansas has the talent and depth to control this matchup, while Robert Morris needs a considerably cleaner offensive performance to remain competitive.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Robert Morris | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 52.5 (447th) | 89.0 (82nd) |
| FG % | 33.0 (425th) | 50.4 (74th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 26.2 (384th) | 35.1 (152nd) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 21.0 (368th) | 18.5 (444th) |
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Basketball Betting Trends
- Robert Morris is 0-2 straight up in all games this season.
- Also, the Colonials are 0-2 against the spread when playing as underdogs.
- The Colonials have not hit the over in their last two games.
- Arkansas is 1-0 straight up when playing as the favorite.
- Additionally, the Razorbacks are 1-0 against the spread as favorites this season.
- Arkansas has hit the over in their last two games.
Colonials Razorbacks Free Pick: Under 157.5
Here is my Colonials Razorbacks free pick: I’m betting Under 157.5. Arkansas should control this game, but covering a 31.5-point spread and pushing a total past 157.5 are two different jobs. I’m not confusing a likely blowout with an automatic scoring festival. The key is how the Razorbacks approach a comfortable second-half lead.
Calipari has every reason to give his reserves meaningful minutes, and that can change the offensive rhythm considerably.
Arkansas can win by 30 without turning the scoreboard into a slot machine.
There’s risk if the Hogs get easy transition baskets early. Still, this number leaves room for Arkansas to score heavily without requiring the Colonials to match that production.
I’m expecting the favorite to take charge, then manage the game rather than chase a ridiculous final score.
That’s where I see the value.
Let Arkansas collect the easy win.
I’ll take the lower-scoring finish with the Under.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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Arkansas Razorbacks on X
Back in BWA for our Veterans Appreciation Game against RMU! 🇺🇸
📱: https://t.co/7vWRSBN2Uu
📊: https://t.co/7jBmaGJlnz
🎟️: https://t.co/GmTty57gla https://t.co/B7xutWHOJA— Arkansas Men’s Basketball 🐗 (@RazorbackMBB) November 11, 2026
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