Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Trojans vs. Gonzaga CBB Odds
Looking for USC Trojans vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Trojans taking on the Bulldogs on Tuesday, March 30th, 2021 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this USC Gonzaga matchup.
2021 NCAA Basketball Tournament
(25-7) #6 USC Trojans vs. #1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-0)
Date: Tuesday, March 30th
Time: 7:15 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
CBB Moneyline Odds: Trojans +360 | Bulldogs -430
CBB Betting Odds: Gonzaga -9
CBB Betting Total: O/U 153
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Tuesday we have the last two Elite 8 games in 2021 with USC and Gonzaga kicking off the first window of games. We all thought we would see Gonzaga make it this far, but what USC has been doing is quite impressive.
The Zags are coming off an 18-point Sweet Sixteen victory over the #5 seeded Creighton Bluejays, while USC dominated #7 Oregon 82-68 for the second time in a month to advance to the Elite 8.
Gonzaga is still seeking the first perfect season since the 1976 Indiana team and is now just two wins away from perfection.
The winner of this contest will move on to the Final Four to face the winner of #1 seeded Michigan and #11 seeded UCLA which takes place following this game.
USC Trojans
The Trojans dominated another matchup with the Pac-12 Champion Oregon Ducks in their Sweet Sixteen game. Oregon came out firing out the gate, but USC was able to weather the storm and took a 12 point lead into the half and never looked back. In his career in the NCAA tournament, Andy Enfield has a perfect 9-0 ATS spread record and can make it 10 on Tuesday by winning outright again or losing by 9 or fewer points.
Andy Enfield’s squad comes into Tuesday’s Elite Eight exposé ranked #6 in the latest KenPom rankings. USC has scored 115.9 points per 100 possessions for the season (14th in the NCAA) and 107.7 points per 100 possessions in conference play this season. The Trojans do most of their work on the offensive glass, where they have pulled down an impressive 35.4% of their missed field goal attempts for the season.
On defense, The Trojans have been one of the toughest teams to face in the country, especially in the painted area. USC has allowed only 87.9 points per 100 possessions for the season which is fourth in the NCAA. The Trojans led all of college basektball in 2-point defense at 41.5 percent and finished with the sixth-best effective field goal percentage defense in the country at 44.5 percent.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
Mark Few’s squad will continue its hunt for the first undefeated season in college basketball since the 1976 Indiana Hoosier’s did it.
The Zags come into the Elite 8 ranked #1 in the latest KenPom rankings. The Bulldogs have scored an NCAA-best 126.4 points per 100 possessions for the season and they lead all of college basketball with an effective field goal percentage of 61.2 percent. The Bulldogs love to pour the points on from the two-point range. They score 57.3% of their point from inside the arc while making an NCAA high 63.9% of their shots attempted from two-point range.
Senior Corey Kispert is Gonzaga’s leading scorer with 19.0 points per game. The project late-first-round pick has blossomed into an elite shooter in his four years with the Zags and is knocking down 46.2% of his three-point shots.
Defensively, the Bulldogs have given up just 88.6 points per 100 possessions for the season (seventh in the NCAA) while holding opponents to an offensive rebounding rate of only 23.0 percent (18th in the NCAA).
CBB Betting Trends:
- USC is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- USC is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games this season.
- USC is 12-1 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the West Coast Conference.
- Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Gonzaga’s last 10 games.
- Gonzaga is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- Gonzaga is 20-0 SU in their last 20 games this season.
- Gonzaga is 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Pac-12 conference.
- Gonzaga is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in March
Free USC Trojans vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAAB Prediction:
I love the Trojans and the points in this game. I think that the Mobley brothers will be formidable matchups for Drew Timme in the paint and stop him from dominating down low as he has in the last three games. We actually are going to be witnessing history with the best two-point defense (the Trojans) in the history of NCAA Basketball going up against the best two-point offense (the Bulldogs) in the history of College Basketball.
USC allows opponents to shoot just 38.64% from the floor and they are going to have to hold the Zags to below 50% if they want a virtually shot at winning this game. Gonzaga has been shooting the lights out of the ball all season averaging over 55% from the floor on the year. In the tournament, the Zags are shooting 54.8% from the field slightly below their season average.
Gonzaga’s best pro prospect Jalen Suggs has struggled in the tournament and if he continues to struggle USC has a really good shot at not just covering, but winning outright. The star freshman has been held to single digits in two out of the three tournament games and that kind of production won’t get it done against this Trojans team.
Isiah Mobley is going to have to be the X-Factor for Andy Enfield’s team. The older Modley brother has been on a tear since the beginning of post-season play. Over his last five games, he has averaged 12.8 points per contest and is shooting 66% from beyond the arc.
Give me the Trojans to keep it close and cover the number against the best team in the country. Also if you like to double-dip on the games I’m also leaning towards the over 153 with two high power offenses squaring off.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: USC +9 / Over 153
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