Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Troy vs. Texas State CBB Odds
Looking for Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Trojans taking on the Bobcats on Thursday, December 30, 2021, at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAA basketball predictions like this Trojans Bobcats matchup.
2021 NCAA Basketball Handicapping
(9-4) Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats (9-3)
Date: Thursday, December 30, 2021
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Strahan Arena
CBB Moneyline Odds: Trojans +350 / Bobcats -450
CBB Betting ATS Odds: Troy +9 / Texas State -9 (Bet Now!)
CBB Betting Total: O/U 129
Sun Belt Conference play has arrived as Troy and Texas State meet on Thursday night at Strahan Arena. Each program has done well to get off to a good start through non-conference play but now the stakes get raised a bit.
The Troy Trojans come into San Marcos at 9 – 4 but the line setters don’t exactly like their chances to find a win on the road to open conference play. Troy has opened at +9 getting nearly double-digits and that is likely a result of the schedule this team has played in 2021.
The Bobcats just had their 8-game win streak snapped by Houston last time out, but they too are guilty of playing an extremely forgiving schedule to this point. Texas State has been shooting the ball extremely well making 48.8% of their attempts and that ranks them 27th in the nation.
Troy Trojans
Troy and Texas State have both played a weak schedule but none of that matters anymore. Now that we have arrived at conference play every game will matter towards placement in the Sun Belt Conference Tourney at the end of the regular season.
Troy hasn’t done much to impress anyone in the rankings on either side of the ball as you see they are buried deep in the numbers. The Trojans make only 66.1% of their free throws and that puts this program back at 295th in the land from the stripe.
Offensively, the Trojans are scoring 66 points a game which puts them at 134th and the 3-point line has been full of adventures for this team. Troy is only converting 32.8% of their shots from distance which leaves them ranked 193rd from behind the arc.
Duke Miles was just getting back in shape before missing the last 2 games as he has only played in 5 games total thus far. He is expected back in the lineup tonight which puts his 10 points a night back in the mix.
Desmond Williams is coming off a 21-point night against Mercer last time out and it’s a good thing he had a big night because they barely escaped with a 4-point win over the Bears, 69 – 65.
Leading scorer Efe Odigie only played 7 minutes in the win and he produced not a single point. Odigie’s last 2 showings have been terrible so he needs to regain his confidence and quick!
Texas State Bobcats
The Bobcats 3 losses are against quality teams and the loss to Houston last time was easy to see coming. Texas State was a 20-point dog against the Cougars and an 80 – 47 loss sure explains how that outing went.
Although the offensive numbers look ok on paper, this schedule should not have this program as far down the defensive rankings as they are and that is where the concern comes.
The Bobcats couldn’t have looked much worse than they did against Houston last time out as everyone struggled to locate the basket. Shelby Adams was the only player to find their way to double-digits as he came away with 10 points to lead the Bobcat squad in the loss.
Nate Martin scored as many points as you and I did from home and now he is down to less than 6 points a game. Nighael Ceaser came off the bench and added 9 points to the mix but leading scorer Caleb Asberry also struggled big time. Asberry is still averaging 13.3 PPG but the 6 points against Houston but he and Mason Harrell combined to go 0 – 8 from behind the arc.
Harrell ended the game with only 2 points on the night and that brought his scoring average down to 9.9 per game below double-digits.
CBB Betting Trends:
- Over is 5-1 in Trojans’ last 6 road games.
- Over is 9-4 in Trojans’ last 13 overall.
- Over is 19-9 in Trojans’ last 28 Thursday games.
- Over is 7-3 in Bobcats’ last 10 overall.
- The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Free Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats NCAAB Betting Prediction:
I cannot leave a 129 on the board even with how bad Texas State looked shooting against Houston. Houston is on another level and scoring on them is no easy task so this is just not the same situation. I see Troy covering this line and the total coming in over the number. Call it a 68 – 64 game!
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Over 129
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