Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Orange vs. Aztecs CBB Odds
Looking for Syracuse Orange vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Orange taking on the Aztecs on Friday, March 19th, 2021 at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Orange Aztecs matchup.
2021 NCAA Basketball Handicapping
(16-9) Syracuse Orange vs. San Diego State Aztecs (23-4)
Date: Friday, March 19th
Time: 9:40 PM ET
Venue: Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
CBB Moneyline Odds: San Diego State -155
CBB Betting Odds: San Diego State -3
CBB Betting Total: 138.5
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Is San Diego State on upset watch? The Aztecs were 23-4 during the regular season but were also 89th during the regular season in strength of schedule. Syracuse is battle tested after running through the ACC.
The Orange are still getting +3 points on Friday in what is coach Jim Boeheim’s 35th appearance in the Big Dance. Syracuse won some big games down the stretch, so does their higher quality of opponent give them an edge here?
There’s no situation in the NCAA tournament that Boeheim hasn’t seen in his remarkable longevity as the coach of Syracuse since 1976. San Diego State had made the tournament just once since 2016, a 1st round loss.
Even some regular season games in the ACC have tournament-level intensity, so the psyche of the Orange should be better for the high pressure situations of March Madness. The Orange played against 8 tournament teams this season in their conference schedule alone.
One big problem facing Syracuse on Friday is the neutral site game being played at Hinkle Fieldhouse. A major reason that the Orange were even able to make the tournament was their 13-1 home record, but that makes them 2-8 when not playing at the Carrier Dome.
Another reason Syracuse could be at risk in their opener is because they’re a team built on offense, ranking 3rd in the ACC with 75.8 ppg. Buddy Boeheim did average 29 ppg in two ACC tourney games though – also held at a neutral site.
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State would have been in the tournament last year if not for the COVID cancellation as they were an amazing 30-2 prior to the lockdowns. The Aztecs have some unfinished business, and were 23-4 this year.
The Aztecs might be in a good spot with this matchup, as their strength is defense. The Aztecs were 4th in the country in allowing just 60.1 ppg on the year. That can be very stifling to the Syracuse offense.
The betting total in this one is 139, which seems very high considering the success of the San Diego State defense and how successful the Syracuse zone pressure can be if you’re not familiar with it.
It’s also really hard to go against San Diego State right now, as they’ve won 15 straight games. San Diego State has also been favored in 20 of their last 22 games though, and have lost both when underdogs (each against Utah State, another tournament team).
CBB Betting Trends:
- Orange are 4-0 ATS last 4 overall
- Orange are 8-2 ATS last 10 NCAA tournament games
- Over is 10-1 in Orange last 11 neutral site games
- Aztecs are 1-4 ATS last 5 overall
- Under is 14-3 in Aztecs last 17 neutral site games
Free Syracuse Orange vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Prediction:
The tempting pick would be Syracuse getting the +3 points here. They’re used to high pressure games playing in the ACC and were a last second 3-pointer away from winning two conference tournament games.
San Diego State knows how to win, but they also were expected to win a majority of their games this year due to a poor strength of schedule. Can that great Aztecs defense travel well?
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Under 139
The swarming San Diego State defense and the unique Syracuse zone mean offenses should struggle on Friday, especially at a neutral site court.
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