Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Boilermakers vs. Bulldogs CBB Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Butler Bulldogs NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday December 21 at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Boilermakers Bulldogs matchup.
2019-2020 NCAA Basketball
(7-4) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Butler Bulldogs (10-1)
Date: Saturday December 21
Time: 2:30 PM ET
Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN.
CBB Moneyline Odds: OFF
CBB Betting Odds: Butler -1
CBB Betting Total: 118
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Two of the country’s top defensive teams will go head-to-head in Indianapolis on Saturday. The last time these two teams met, Purdue knocked Butler out of the Big Dance in March of 2018.
Butler has whipped out to a 10-1 start, while Purdue is a measly 7-4. Additionally, and more importantly, both teams rank in the top-10 in KenPom ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue’s record sucks, but it does include a close three-point loss to #19 Florida State and an emasculating 29-point victory over #9 Virginia. They’re also 6-5 ATS this season, and have covered three of their last five.
So essentially, I have no idea what to make of this Boilermakers team.
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What I do know is that they have a rock-solid, near-impenetrable defense. KenPom has their adjusted defense rated fifth in the nation, and they’re allowing a ridiculously low 55 points/game, also good for fifth in the nation.
Butler Bulldogs
The Bulldogs have covered in seven of their last 10. KenPom’s ratings has them 18th in the nation in adjusted offense and 17th in adjusted defense.
They also have a few really impressive victories, they beat both Mizzou and Stanford on a neutral court, won at Ole Miss, and beat Florida at home. Additionally, they have a one-point squeaker road loss to #10 Baylor.
They play a ridiculously slow pace, but they do have one guy scoring 15+ points/game. Senior guard Kamar Baldwin is 15.7 points/game on 45/35/95 shooting splits, but also is averaging over 2 turnovers/game.
CBB Betting Trends:
- Butler are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
- Butler are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Purdue.
Free Purdue Boilermakers vs. Butler Bulldogs NCAAB Prediction:
These two teams, outside of record, are almost mirror images of each other.
KenPom’s adjusted tempo ratings has Butler at 341st and Purdue at 342nd. Their overall ratings have Purdue at ninth and Butler at 10th. Butler gives up the fourth least points/game in the nation while Purdue gives up the fifth least.
This should be a really “good” game, but it will be a defensive slugfest.
Both of these teams hold their opponents to under 40% from the field and under 30% from deep, and they both aren’t great offensively either. The under would be an ideal pick if the total wasn’t as low as it is.
Butler is going to win this ballgame.
The Bulldogs are weaker than Purdue on the boards, but they’re much more efficient offensively. Additionally, their offensive leader, Baldwin, will hopefully bounce-back after going 1-9 from three in his last two games.
Here’s a great sign: Early action is seeing about 70% of the tickets on Butler but more than 90% of the money. Sharp money is one of my favorite things!
I’m expecting this fight to go the distance, but i’m also expecting a few big hits by the Bulldogs down the stretch.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Butler -1
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