Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Nittany Lions vs. Scarlet Knights CBB Odds
Looking for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Nittany Lions taking on the Scarlet Knights on Tuesday January 7 at the The RAC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Nittany Lions Scarlet Knights matchup.
2019-2020 NCAA Basketball
(12-2) Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (11-3)
Date: Tuesday January 7
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: The RAC, Piscataway, NJ.
CBB Moneyline Odds: OFF
CBB Betting Odds: Lions -1
CBB Betting Total: 140.5
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Penn State Nittany Lions
The surprise story of the year so far would be #20 Penn State, who have officially confirmed they are now a Basketball School.
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But it seems like this Penn State team isn’t just a fluke. They’ve won five straight and are 9-5 ATS on the season. Additionally, they’ve played five KenPom top-50 teams and beat four of them (only losing @ Ohio State).
They’re a good team who loves to score the basketball. They play at the 35th-highest KenPom adjusted tempo, and their 81 points/game ranks 19th in the country.
6-8 Senior forward Lamar Stevens is the engine that drives the Lions offense. He’s the only guy used in more than 24% of Penn State’s possessions and he’s scoring 16 points/game because of that.
However, while he’s shooting 46% from the field, he’s only making 0.7 of his 3.0 3pt attempts/game. That’s a lousy 23.8% clip on a team that falls well out of the top-100 in three-point shooting.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Defensively, the Scarlet Knights are a wagon.
They have a top-25 KenPom adjusted defense rating, and only allow 56 points/game which is good for 15th in the nation. Their opponents are only shooting 37% from the field against them, which includes an incredible 42.4% from 2pt range (which is also top-20 in the country).
Being good at defense means you’re probably good in general. This season, Rutgers are 11-3 overall, 10-1 at home, and 8-4-1 ATS. That’s pretty good.
They also have two really good home wins against Wisconsin and Seton Hall, who are both KenPom top-25 teams. Additionally, they were underdogs in both of those matchups, and who doesn’t love a Home Dog!
Rutgers’ offense is certainly weaker than their defense, and they don’t really have a standout player. However, the duo of Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. has been managing, as they are both averaging over 11 points/game with offensive ratings over 100.
Free Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAB Prediction: Classic Big Ten conference matchup.
A fast-paced, high-powered Penn State team will have to go into Rutgers’ home arena and overpower their strong defense. I don’t think I see that happening.
Whenever we have a really good defense playing at home against a really good offense, I tend to side with the defensive-minded home team. Additionally, Rutgers’ two convincing home wins against Wisconsin and Seton Hall, who are both ranked very similarly to Penn State, is enough to make one believe they can do it again.
Also worth noting, both of these teams’ 2pt FG% allowed is top-15 in the nation. Therefore, I believe both of them might have a rough time scoring.
In conclusion: Picture a classic Big Ten, low-scoring, grind-it-out game in which the home team narrowly pulls out the conference win.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Rutgers and the Under.
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