Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Midshipmen vs. Cavaliers CBB Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Midshipmen taking on the Cavaliers on Sunday December 29 at the John Paul Jones Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Midshipmen Cavaliers matchup.
2019-2020 NCAA Basketball
(6-4) Navy Midshipmen vs. Virginia Cavaliers (9-2)
Date: Sunday December 29
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Venue: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA.
CBB Moneyline Odds: OFF
CBB Betting Odds: UV -19.5
CBB Betting Total: OFF
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Get ready for the most boring college basketball game of the year! If this piques your interest, read more below!
Navy Midshipmen
Where do we start with the Midshipmen?
Navy ranks 334th out of 353 teams nationwide in points scored per game, and 12th in points allowed per game.
KenPom’s ratings has Navy ranked 291st in adjusted offense, and 183rd in adjusted defense.
Navy literally does not score, but they do play pretty O.K. defense. For example, the best team they’ve played this year (via KenPom ratings) was Liberty, and while they only managed 48 points, they held the Flames to 55 points and easily covered their +15.5.
Cam Davis and John Carter Jr. drive the Midshipmen’s attack, as they both are averaging 14 points/game. However, both of them are shooting well under 40% from the field.
Virginia Cavaliers
Where do we start with the Cavaliers?
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The defending champs are historically good on defense. Tony Bennett has taken his defensive-minded approach to a whole new level, as the Cavaliers are only allowing 46.5 points/game, which is best in the nation.
KenPom has them rated number one in adjusted defense, and the difference between them and second-place is the same as the difference between second and 23rd. The Cavaliers suck the life out of any offense they play.
However, with the departure of Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome, the Cavaliers literally cannot put the basketball inside the bucket. They are, outstandingly, 351st out of 353 teams in points scored per game (54.3), and KenPom has them rated 179th in adjusted offense.
Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are shooting 39% from the floor and 26% from three. They must be the worst offensive team to have ever been ranked.
Free Navy Midshipmen vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB Prediction: Underdogs with low totals.
Taking Dogs with low totals is a classic football capping strategy. And, i’m going to borrow that strategy to make you some money this Sunday afternoon.
Here’s the kicker with these two teams, and read this very carefully: Navy and Virginia are the bottom two teams in the nation in KenPom adjusted tempo. That means these two teams play at a slower pace than anyone else in the country.
Navy is not a very good basketball team. KenPom ratings has them at 260th in the nation, they are 1-3 on the road and 5-4 against the spread while only playing one top-100 KenPom team.
Virginia is ranked #16 in the nation, and are 9-2 overall and 7-1 at home this season. This means they’ll be favored over Navy by probably a bunch.
But Virginia is kind of overvalued. They’re 3-8 against the spread this season, and have only covered one of their last nine games.
Here is my argument: These two teams will play at a ridiculously slow pace, the total will be one of the lowest in college basketball this season, and Navy will be double-digit underdogs. While I don’t expect Navy to put up a lot of points, it will be wicked hard for Virginia to win by 15+ when they can barely score 60.
The total will be too low to actually consider taking the under, but this is the perfect spot to take a huge Dog in a very low-scoring game.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Navy plus the points.
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