Free Pick: Spurs vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Spurs taking on the Wolves on 5/8 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Spurs Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Playoffs Handicapping – San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(2-1) San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (1-2)
Date: May 10, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs -155| Wolves +143 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Spurs -4.5 | Wolves +4.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 218.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown underdog as outlined in my Spurs Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
- Live Betting Odds for today’s Spurs vs. Timberwolves game!
- Want more basketball predictions like this Spurs Timberwolves play? Check out our free NBA AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Spurs vs. Wolves Gameday
Of all the Conference Semi-Finals, the San Antonio and Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most entertaining and competitive. Game 3 went to the Spurs by a score of 115-108.
Five Spurs scored in double figures, but it was the standout performance of Victor Wembanyama that won the night. Wemby delivered a double-double of 39 points and 15 rebounds with five blocks, an assist, and a steal.
Six Wolves registered double digits, led by Anthony Edwards with 32 points and 14 rebounds, plus six assists and a block. Considering he’s playing on two bad knees, his output and the fact that he played 41 minutes are beyond impressive.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA matchup.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
This season, it was the Wolves who prevailed to take a 2-1 regular-season series win versus San Antonio and are 5-2 over the last two seasons.
As for their playoff history, the teams have met on two prior occasions, with the Spurs winning both series. That said, the last time these clubs played was in 2001, so under very different versions of the teams.
Coming into the playoffs, the Wolves dealt with copious injuries to their core, specifically missing Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels. Minny went 3-2 in the final five games and was middling, going 5-5 through the last 10 matches.
San Antonio finished the season on a 14-2 run, looking primed for the postseason, and overcame an injury to their superstar Victor Wembanyama in the first round to sail through to the semis.
The Spurs are 4.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 218.5 points.
Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it is second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averages 119.7 points per game while its opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
YOU CAN CLICK HERE TO CHECK OUT OUR TOP NBA CAPPERS! (All Under 1 Roof)
Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks 13th offensively (115.6), eighth defensively (112.5), and 10th in net rating (+3.1), running a pace of 101.50, which also ranks 10th overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.1 assists (16th) and 44.1 rebounds (tied for 12th). Minny scores 118.0 points per game while their opponents average 114.6 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (28.8 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.5) and blocks (1.6), and Julius Randle for assists (5.0).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.0% from deep with eight players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
Game 3 could’ve gone either way, but AntMan didn’t have the same level of support as Wemby got, and that was the difference in the outcome.
For the Wolves to even up the series, they’ll need to cut down on the fouls (they lost that battle 33 to 21 attempts) and be better at defending the paint and transition scoring. San Antonio won the latter two categories 46 to 38 and 13 to 7.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio’s last 18 games played in May.
- San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against Minnesota.
- Also, Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games against San Antonio.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio.
Spurs Wolves Free Pick: Wolves +4.5
Here is my Spurs Wolves free pick.
Minny showed up in Game 3 having taken that match more seriously than they did Game 2. They can’t afford to be so lackadaisical again because the Spurs have the depth advantage and now the lead in the series.
Edwards has done everything to collect the win, but will need more help. That help needs to come from the starting unit because the Wolves’ bench outscored the Spurs 34 to 21.
Per John Schuhmann: Wembanyama averaged 34 points in less than 29 minutes in his two games against the Wolves. He was defended more by Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels than by Rudy Gobert. Yet only 32% of Wembanyama’s shots came in the paint, his lowest rate against any opponent. He did go 21-for-24 at the free-throw line and the Wolves had the highest opponent free-throw rate in the first around, so he should be prepared to get hit often over the next two weeks.
This has been an extremely physical series, and it’s not likely to get any tamer as it progresses. Look for the Wolves to come out dialed in, and don’t be surprised if Edwards has a knockout performance.
I’m rolling with Minny evening things up, so take the points and the Wolves for the win.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
Best Sportsbooks For San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Gambling Today!
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Anthony Edwards on the drive and kicks in this series:
“They got somebody who 7-6 on the floor. (Wemby) takes up a lot of space. Just trying to figure out ways to find an open man around him because in the paint he’s just everywhere” pic.twitter.com/FskcSk7ff3
— Oh No He Didn’t (@ohnohedidnt24) May 9, 2026
All in all, if you’re looking for more NBA picks like San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, we’ll be providing 4* free NBA plays on the blog all season long. In fact, you can check out our NBA experts for guaranteed premium & free NBA basketball picks!
What’s more, register here for a FREE NBA Betting Account Now for daily free picks & more special offers! Lastly, what do you think, are you tailing this Spurs Wolves free pick?
