Free Pick: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Trail Blazers taking on the Spurs on 4/28 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Trail Blazers Spurs free pick.
2026 NBA Playoffs Handicapping – Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
(1-3) Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs (3-1)
Date: Apr 28, 2026
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers +510 | Spurs -576 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Trail Blazers +12 | Spurs -12
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 215.5
Here’s why I’m backing the visiting underdogs as per below in my Trail Blazers Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Gameday
Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Playoffs between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs occurs at 9:30 p.m. on Tuesday.
San Antonio stormed back in the last two matches to collect the win and a 3-1 series lead, including Game 4 when they won 114-93.
Only three Blazers scored in double figures, led by Deni Avdija with 26 points, seven rebounds, and three assists, while he also had five turnovers. Vets Jrue Holiday (20 points) and Jerami Grant (17 points) were the others to join the double-digit club.
Victor Wembanyama returned for Game 4 and was significant, registering a double-double of 27 points and 12 rebounds. He joined three other Spurs who scored in double digits, led by De’Aaron Fox with 28 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Spurs won the series three games to one, while this campaign, the Spurs won the series two games to one.
In history, the teams have met on four occasions, with the Spurs taking the last three series, including the most recent meeting back in 2014.
Everything is a bonus for both these teams as they get to give the young cores experience in this environment. Sure, the Spurs have more expectations on them, but they are at least a year ahead of schedule, with many pundits picking them to win Larry O’B.
San Antonio is favored by 12 points with an over/under of 215.5 points.
Trail Blazers Stats
Portland ranks 21st (113.1) offensively, 12th defensively (113.5), 19th in net rating (-0.4), and ran with a pace of 101.63, which ranks ninth.
The Blazers average 115.5 points per game while their opponents average 115.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Portland averages 25.1 (tied for 24th) and 46.0 (sixth), respectively.
Portland’s team leaders are Deni Avdija for scoring (24.2 points) and assists (6.7), Matisse Thybulle for steals (2.0), Donovan Clingan for rebounds (11.6), and blocks (1.7).
As for the perimeter, the Blazers struggle from deep, averaging 34.3% while six *players shoot over 36%.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it is second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averages 119.7 points per game while its opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line:
It’s been an entertaining series, but the Blazers have to be licking their wounds after holding double-digit leads in both Game 3 and 4, yet still finding a way to lose.
The vets for the Blazers have shown up, but there is simply too much talent on the Spurs for them to steal wins unless their youngsters step up.
Portland needs to move the ball more if they want to have a chance at extending the series, and 14 assists just won’t cut it, especially when the Spurs are pushing pace and dishing dimes (26).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Portland’s last 13 games.
- Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against San Antonio.
- Also, San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio’s last 7 games against Portland.
- Additionally, San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Trail Blazers Spurs Free Pick: Blazers +12
Here is my Trail Blazers Spurs free pick.
Victor Wembanyama had the spotlight on him again, and he didn’t disappoint, but you get the feeling there is much more to come.
San Antonio is crushing the Blazers in the paint, and what was expected to be a terrible matchup (Clingon on Wemby) has proven accurate.
If Portland wants to extend the series, they’ll need at least one of their youngsters to step up in Game 5, and perhaps with their backs against the wall, that will happen. Regardless if they win or not, this was a very positive season for the Blazers, who developed their youngsters and got them the taste of playoff ball.
In their 62-wins the Spurs shot 37% from deep, but in their losses, they shot 31%. Portland ranked 15th in perimeter defense, holding teams to 35.8%.
San Antonio has shown signs of their youth by letting the Blazers take double-figure leads in each of the last two games, but buckled down in the final frame.
They likely win Game 5 based on their overall talent and Wemby being the best player on the court, but I think they might play with their food in the middle frames again, so I’ll take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Draymond Green on Castle:
“Stephon Castle is a winner, (he) is a special player.. In these playoffs he has been the most important player for the Spurs.. You take Stephon Castle off that team, that is a completely different team. That kid there is special.”#GoSpursGo #PorVida pic.twitter.com/YYIwofB3ke
— Wemby Alien Era (@WembyAlienEra) April 28, 2026
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