Free Pick: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Trail Blazers taking on the Spurs on 4/21 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Trail Blazers Spurs free pick.
2026 NBA Playoffs Handicapping – Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
(0-1) Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs (1-0)
Date: Apr 21, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers +500 | Spurs -550 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Trail Blazers +11.5 | Spurs -11.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 220.5
Here’s why I’m backing the visiting underdogs as per below in my Trail Blazers Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Gameday
Game one is in the books, and now the teams make adjustments. Game 2 of the 2026 NBA Playoffs between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs occurs at 8:00 p.m. on Tuesday.
San Antonio took the initial meeting 111-98 with a pretty convincing victory. Four Blazers scored in double figures, led by Deni Avdija with 30 points and 10 rebounds, while Scoot Henderson had 18 points.
Six Spurs scored in double digits, led by Victor Wembanyama with 35 points and five rebounds. Stephen Castle (who was also making his debut in the postseason) didn’t shoot particularly well (4 of 13), but he finished with 17 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists.
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Spurs won the series three games to one, while this campaign, the Spurs won the series two games to one.
In history, the teams have met on four occasions, with the Spurs taking the last three series, including the most recent meeting back in 2014.
Everything is a bonus for both these teams as they get to give the young cores experience in this environment. Sure, the Spurs have more expectations on them, but they are at least a year ahead of schedule, with many pundits picking them to win Larry O’B.
San Antonio is favored by 11.5 points with an over/under of 220.5 points.
Trail Blazers Stats
Portland ranks 21st (113.1) offensively, 12th defensively (113.5), 19th in net rating (-0.4), and ran with a pace of 101.63, which ranks ninth.
The Blazers average 115.5 points per game while their opponents average 115.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Portland averages 25.1 (tied for 24th) and 46.0 (sixth), respectively.
Portland’s team leaders are Deni Avdija for scoring (24.2 points) and assists (6.7), Matisse Thybulle for steals (2.0), Donovan Clingan for rebounds (11.6), and blocks (1.7).
As for the perimeter, the Blazers struggle from deep, averaging 34.3% while six *players shoot over 36%.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it is second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averages 119.7 points per game while its opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line:
Despite taking the first game by double figures, the irony is the Spurs did NOT have their best game. Wemby put up numbers, but it wasn’t his best outing either. In fact, his squad actually performed better (based on point differential) while Wemby sat, versus when he was on the hardwood.
The young squad got its feet a bit wet, and that doesn’t bode well for Portland that San Antonio is likely to play better as the series progresses.
Moving forward, the Blazers have some tweaks and decisions to make. Do they try to double Victor or let him get his points and elect to focus on the backcourt instead? Since it feels like no one can stop Wemby, the second part of that equation makes more sense.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- Portland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland’s last 10 games.
- Portland is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
- Also, San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games against Portland.
- Additionally, San Antonio is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games.
Trail Blazers Spurs Free Pick: Blazers +11.5
Here is my Trail Blazers Spurs free pick.
Victor Wembanyama had the spotlight on him again, and he didn’t disappoint, but you get the feeling there is much more to come.
Portland made runs but weren’t able to close the gap with Avdija needing more help. Perimeter shooting was a problem with the Blazers, shooting 26,% (10 of 38), which won’t get the job done. They held their own on the boards, but allowed San Antonio to get out on the break and lost that battle 20 to 11.
One area to watch is whether the Blazers tweak their strategy on how to guard San Antonio. In Game 1, instead of having Donovan Clingon guard Wemby, they elected to have Toumani Camara do the heavy lifting while the former was on Castle to put some size on him and force him to shoot.
That part of the equation worked out, so we should expect Clingon to stay on Castle. How the Spurs adapt is the question. Will they employ De’Aaron Fox more with the ball handling and to push the pace?
In their 62-wins the Spurs shot 37% from deep, but in their losses, they shot 31%. Portland ranked 15th in perimeter defense, holding teams to 35.8%.
Avdija did his job for Portland, but can someone else step up? Scoot Henderson had a good game, and it feels like Shaedon Sharpe has more to offer.
Also, keep an eye out for the Blazers vets (Jrue Holiday/Jerami Grant) to take a bigger role in Game 2.
Although I expect the Spurs to win the series, I was impressed by the Blazers stick-to-it-tiveness and like them to keep the game close, so take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Portland’s Deni Avdija says he doesn’t think his team was too far from being able to win.
He also had some thoughts to share about the atmosphere at the Bank and San Antonio’s fans. pic.twitter.com/lK0D7emuk9
— SpursRΞPORTΞR (@SpursReporter) April 20, 2026
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