Free NBA Pick: Magic vs. Suns Odds
Looking for Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Magic taking on the Suns on November 5th at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Magic Suns matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns
Magic +1.5 | Suns -1.5Here’s why I’m backing Phoenix ATS in my Mavericks Suns free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Magic vs. Suns Gameday
Orlando travels to Phoenix on November 5th for an NBA matchup at Mortgage Matchup Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 ET, with both teams reeling to find a rhythm and get out of their losing funk.
Per John Schuhmann: The Suns have played just four games over the first 13 days of the season, and they’ve yet to discover the defense that they made them one of the league’s biggest surprises last year. They allowed almost 129 points per 100 possessions in losses to the Thunder and Nuggets last week.
Orlando was a team many thought would experience growth after an injury riddled season, but they are already dealing with injuries to Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs.
Phoenix was a team that surprised last season, but they’ve had issues regaining the edge they played with last year.
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Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns Odds & Previous Games
Historically, the teams have played a total of 73 times in the regular season with the Suns holding a 42-31 record. Last year, the clubs split the two-game series.
Entering this match the Magic have the rest advantage having last played and lost to the Wizards 94-103 on Monday. Conversely, the Suns are completing a back-to-back set having lost 119-132 to the Trail Blazers on the front side.
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Magic Stats
Orlando ranked 18th (114.2) on offense and tied for 13th on defense (113.6). Additionally, the Magic were 17th in net rating (+0.6) and possessed the 14th-quickest pace (100.56).
The East’s eighth seed averaged 115.7 points per game while its opponents averaged 115.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Orlando averaged 26.5 (15th) and 43.4 (19th), respectively.
Per John Schuhmann: The Magic are getting killed in the possession game. They’ve had at least four fewer shot opportunities than their opponent in all six of their games, now tied with Washington for the worst average discrepancy (9.1 fewer per game) in the league. They ranked eighth in the possession game last season (plus-1.7 opportunities per game), but they’ve gone from fifth to 27th in defensive rebounding percentage, also seeing a huge drop in turnover differential.
Orlando’s team leaders* were Paolo Banchero for scoring (22.2 points) and rebounds (8.4), Jalen Suggs for assists (5.5) and steals (1.8), and Goga Bitadze for blocks (1.0).
While the Magic only shot 34.3% from the perimeter as a team, they had four players who shot above the league average from deep.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranked 17th offensively (114.2) and tied for ninth defensively (112.9), while they were 15th in net rating (+1.4) and ranked 24th in pace (98.14).
The West’s seventh seed averaged 112.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averaged 24.6 (27th) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* were Devin Booker for scoring (26.1 points) and assists (6.0), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.0) and blocks (0.9), and Jordan Goodwin for steals (1.5).
Perimeter shooting was a strength for the Suns, who shot 36.1 percent from deep with six players shooting above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Magic vs. Suns Key Matchup
With Banchero out, all the emphasis shifts to Franz Wagner, who is handling the ball a lot more. Through seven games he’s averaging 20.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 7.6 assists.
Secondary emphasis should be on Desmond Bane and Anthony Black.
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The Suns remain Devin Booker’s team, but even he hasn’t looked up to his typical par. Still, he’s the straw that stirs the drink as he’s averaging 23 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 5.2 assists.
Miles Bridges, Dillon Brooks and Jalen Green are all averaging double digit scoring so they’ll draw the secondary defensive emphasis.
Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns bottom line: Neither team has been stellar but the Magic rank in the bottom third in both offensive (22nd) and defensive (25th) rating.
In contrast, the Suns have the 11th best offense but possess the 30th ranked defense.
With both defenses being an issue the offense should be the key difference.
Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns Basketball Betting Trends
- Over is 5-0 in Suns last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games as a road underdog.
Magic Suns Free Pick: Suns -1.5
Here is my Magic Suns free pick: I’m playing Phoenix ATS given they are at home and while they are at a rest disadvantage the Magic have looked stuck in cement on offense.
Per John Schuhmann: The defense has been bad unless Ryan Dunn has been on the floor, and the starting lineup has also struggled offensively, scoring 96 points on 96 possessions. It’s a limited sample size, but the offense has been efficient (104 points on 86 possessions, 121 per 100) when Collin Gillespie has been on the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks, but without Jalen Green.
Therefore, I’m rolling with the home team and their fans to help provide them with energy fueling them toward a victory.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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Mike Muscala X Koa Peat = working post shootaround. #Suns https://t.co/MZfd00zWCF
— Duane Rankin (@DuaneRankin) November 4, 2026
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