Free NBA Pick: Pacers vs. Grizzlies Odds
Looking for Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Pacers taking on the Grizzlies on November 4th at FedEx Forum in Memphis, TN. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Pacers Grizzlies matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Pacers +6.5 | Grizzlies -6.5Here’s why I’m backing Memphis ATS in my Mavericks Suns free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Pacers vs. Grizzlies Gameday
Indiana travels to Memphis on November 4th for an NBA matchup at FedEx Forum. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET, with both teams [DESCRIBE THEIR CURRENT SITUATION OR MOTIVATION].
The Cinderella team in the early season is undoubtedly the Memphis Grizzlies, who were the last team to lose a game. This is not an outlier or schedule anomaly.
Per John Schuhmann: The Heat (2-4), Bucks (1-5) and Nets (1-5) are a combined 4-14, with three of those four wins having come against the Pacers last week. Indiana has lost four straight games, playing without Ivica Zubac for all four and without Tyrese Haliburton for the last three.
Memphis enters this match following their first loss that took overtime to decide. Conversely, Indiana is on a losing streak of five games and dealing with injuries to their superstars.
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Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds & Previous Games
These clubs have played 60 times historically, with the Pacers owning the record 34-26. Yet, it’s the Grizzlies who won the season series last year, sweeping the two meetings.
The Grizzlies last played on Monday, losing 134-135 in overtime to the New Orleans Pelicans. Indiana also played on Monday, losing 104-108 to the Atlanta Hawks.
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Pacers Stats
Indy ranked 27th (110.0) on offense and 27th on defense (118.2). Additionally, the Pacers were 27th in net rating (-8.2) and ran the eighth-quickest pace (101.63).
The East’s 13th seed averaged 112.6 points per game, while their opponents averaged 120.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Indy averaged 27.5 (11th) and 41.7 (26th), respectively.
Per John Schuhmann: The Pacers’ projected starting lineup has played in just one game together. Quenton Jackson has played more minutes than Haliburton, Larry Nance Jr. has played more than Zubac, and Indiana has scored an anemic 89 points per 100 minutes in the 71 minutes that Jackson and Nance have been on the floor together.
Team leaders* in key categories were Pascal Siakam for scoring (23.9 points) as well as for rebounds (6.6), and steals (1.1), while Andrew Nembhard led for assists (7.7), and Jay Huff for blocks (1.8).
From the perimeter, Indy averaged 35.6 percent, and has nine players shooting league average or better.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Grizzlies Stats
The Grizzlies ranked tied for 22nd offensively (113.3), tied for 24th defensively (117.0), with the 22nd-ranked net rating of (-3.8), and ran the 10th-fastest pace (101.48).
The Grizzlies averaged 115.3 points per game while their opponents averaged 119.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averaged 28.2 (ninth) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Memphis’ team leaders* were Ty Jerome for scoring (19.9), Ja Morant for assists (8.1), and steals (1.0), and Zach Edey for rebounds (11.1) and blocks (1.9).
The Grizzlies shot 35.5% from the perimeter, with four players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Pacers vs. Grizzlies Key Matchup
With the numerous Pacers out, the weight of scoring falls on Pascal Siakam. The forward is averaging 21.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game.
Andrew Nembhard takes on a larger role with Haliburton out.
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Memphis offers balanced scoring and is a super fun watch. Tuomas Iisalo has his squad dialed in and believing in themselves.
Ty Jerome is the key scorer averaging 28.2 points while rookie Cameron Boozer is doing it all with 17.7 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game.
Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies bottom line: Size will be an issue for the Pacers as Boozer and Zach Edey present an imposing front court to have to navigate around or battle on the boards with.
Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Basketball Betting Trends
- Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-0 in the Grizzlies’ last 6 games following an ATS loss.
- Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the Pacers’ last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Pacers Grizzlies Free Pick: Grizzlies -6.5
Here is my Pacers Grizzlies free pick: I’m playing Memphis ATS because they play like a team and are balanced throughout the lineup. It’s simply too much for Indiana to handle with all their injuries, and barring Zubac playing, their size will be the biggest issue.
Per John Schuhmann: The win in Portland was the third time that the Grizzlies shot below 50% in the paint. But they kept the Blazers in check on the other end and have been winning from the outside. They’ve outscored their opponent from 3-point range in all six of their games and by 15 points or more in each of the last four. The percentages are sure to start going the other way at some point, though. While the Grizzlies have shot a league-best 41.6% from beyond the arc, their opponents have shot just 30.1% (third lowest).
Pace should also be a factor and is something the Pacers will also be looking to create, but again, the size of the Grizzlies and balanced scoring will rue the day.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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TY JEROME EXPLODES FOR 40 AGAIN.
Despite the Grizzlies’ first loss of the season, @tyjerome_ drops his second 40-piece of the season (and of his career) in an OT thriller against the Pelicans.
40 PTS | 5 REB | 5 AST | 5 3PM https://t.co/T4Am6UAZK0
— NBA (@NBA) November 3, 2026
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