Free Pick: Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Rockets on 4/10 at the Toyota Center in Houston. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Timberwolves Rockets free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
(47-33) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets (51-29)
Date: Apr 10, 2026
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +380 | Rockets -450 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Timberwolves +10.5 | Rockets -10.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 222
Here’s why I’m backing the favorite Houston as outlined in my Timberwolves Rockets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Gameday
With just two dates left in the 2025-26 season, Friday serves up a loaded slate with all 30 teams in action, including the Minnesota Timberwolves versus the Houston Rockets.
Minny last played on Wednesday, losing 120-132 to the Orlando Magic. Four Timberwolves scored in double-digits with reserve Terrence Shannon Jr. leading the way, offering 33 points and five assists.
Houston is completing a back-to-back set, having played on Thursday in a 113-102 victory versus the Sixers to improve their winning streak to eight in a row.
Kevin Durant led the way with 29 points, seven rebounds, and five assists, while Jabari Smith Jr. and Amen Thompson each chipped in 19 points.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets Odds & Last 5
Last year, the teams played four times and split the season series. This is the final meeting between the clubs this campaign, with each side having a win.
Minny has struggled without their superstar Anthony Edwards, and is having trouble collecting wins. They are 2-5 through the last seven matches with a record of 47-33. Given the losing, they’ve lost out on opportunities to move up, having cemented themselves into the sixth seed.
With the recent winning streak, the Rockets have jumped up to the fifth seed with a record of 51-29. In contrast to their opponent they still have something to play for as they are even with the limping Lakers and could overtake them for fourth and subsequently homecourt in the first round.
Houston is favored by 10.5 points with an over/under of 222 points.
Timberwolves Stats
Minnesota ranks 12th offensively (115.2), sixth defensively (112.1), and 10th in net rating (+3.1), running a pace of 101.45, which ranks ninth overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.0 assists (16th) and 44.3 rebounds (12th). Minny scores 117.6 points per game while their opponents average 114.3 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (28.9 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.5) and blocks (1.6), and Julius Randle for assists (5.0).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.0% from deep with eight players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Rockets Stats
With 80 games in the pocket, Houston is eighth (117.2) on offense and fifth on defense (112.0). Additionally, the Rockets are sixth in net rating (+5.1) and run the 29th slowest pace (96.88).
The West’s fifth seed averages 114.8 points per game, while its opponents average 109.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Houston averages 25.4 (21st) and 48.0 (1st), respectively.
Team leaders are Kevin Durant for scoring (25.98), while Alperen Sengun leads for assists (6.2), rebounds (8.9), blocks (1.1), and steals (1.2).
Perimeter shooting is an advantage for Houston, which shoots the deep ball at an average of 36.7%.
Six different players shoot the deep ball above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets bottom line:
With the stretch run in full effect, teams have a few games left to improve upon their positions and fix any glaring errors. In this matchup, however, only one team has anything left to play for.
Minnesota has the 14th-ranked closing schedule with two games remaining versus the Rockets and Pelicans. But, as noted, they are locked into the sixth seed, so rest will take precedence over winning.
Houston also has two games remaining, with both the Wolves and Grizzlies being hosted at the Toyota Center. The difference for the Rockets is that they can still gain the fourth seed, so they have a vested interest in winning. Houston has the 20th-rated remaining strength of schedule.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets Basketball Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota’s last 20 games.
- Minnesota is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games against Houston.
- Also, Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Houston is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
Timberwolves Rockets Free Pick: Rockets -10.5
Here is my Timberwolves Rockets free pick.
Houston is one of the hottest teams in the association with their eight-game winning streak in play. It’s come at the perfect time with LA suffering key injuries and opened the door for them to slide into fourth if they can take care of business.
Per John Schuhmann: The Wolves’ starting lineup still leads the league with 710 total minutes played together. The lineup has outscored opponents by 7.9 points per 100 possessions, a mark that ranks 11th among 19 lineups that have played at least 200 minutes, and the numbers have been very similar (plus-7.4 per 100) in 158 minutes with the other four starters on the floor without McDaniels.
Houston should have this one handily, given Edwards is out, and likely several other Wolves starters, to allow them time to rest their various injuries.
The question is whether the Rockets will come out on fire or let the Wolves’ reserves push them, leading to Houston needing to lock down in the latter stages of the match.
I’m banking on them learning from their recent close call and taking this match by the spread appointed.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
THE HOUSTON ROCKETS HAVE WON 8 GAMES IN A ROW
51 WINS ‼️
2 GAMES LEFT OF THE REGULAR SEASON pic.twitter.com/Pv31089HiO
— ☆ (@Stunna999_) April 10, 2026
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