Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Suns NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Suns on Friday, January 6th, 2023 at Footprint Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat-Suns matchup.
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2023 NBA Handicapping
(20-19) Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns (20-19)
Date: Friday, January 6th
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Phoenix
NBA Moneyline Odds: Heat -121 | Suns +110 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: PHX +2
NBA Betting Total: 217
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The road Heat come into this one off a 112-109 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. They entered that one as 8.5-point favorites and failed to cover for the first time in three outings.
Miami is 14-23-2 against the spread on the season and is 5-4-1 ATS in its last 10.
The home Suns come into this one off a 90-88 road loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. They entered that one as 5-point underdogs and covered for the first time in their last four outings.
The Suns are 20-19 against the spread on the season and are 5-5 ATS in their last 10.
These two teams have met once during the 2022-23 regular season:
- Monday, November 14 @ Miami: Miami 113 – Phoenix 112
*Editor’s note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing during games Thursday, January 5. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Friday, January 6.
Miami Heat
The Heat are .500 since breaking a 5-1 stretch in the six games prior. They’re probably playing better overall than the .500 record indicates, but it’s tough to feel that way when they’re also dropping games they should clearly win.
The latest example: the three-point loss to the Lakers, who were without both Anthony Davis and LeBron James. On ESPN. Ouch.
Season Stats
Offense
The Heat enter this one scoring 109 points per game—a number that ranks dead last 30th in the league.
When looking at the advanced stats, the Heat score 108.9 points per 100 possessions. That number puts them in the No. 23 spot so far this season.
Defense
Defensively, this team is allowing 109.5 points per game. That number ranks 4th in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 108.8 per 100 possessions—a number that ranks 8th across the league.
Injury Report
- Udonis Haslem, PF (Day-to-Day—Achilles)
- Dewayne Dedmon, C (Day-to-Day—foot)
- Duncan Robinson, F (OUT—finger)
- Nikola Jovic, F (OUT—back)
- Omer Yurtseven, C (OUT—ankle)
Phoenix Suns
The Phoenix Suns are on a serious skid. They’re 1-5 in their last six SU without Devin Booker (he played 4 minutes on Christmas Day), and the Suns’ star remains out for potentially three more weeks.
The trouble in the desert, though, began before Christmas. The team had lost two straight at that point after three wins in a row but was also just 4-8 SU in their 12 games prior.
Long story short: After starting the season 16-7 SU, the Suns are now 20-19 and lack any momentum whatsoever entering Friday night.
Season Stats
The Suns enter this one scoring 113.5 points per game—a number that ranks 16th across the NBA.
When looking at the advanced stats, the Suns score 112.4 points per 100 possessions. That number puts them in the No. 9 spot so far this season.
Defense
Defensively, this team is allowing 111.2 points per game. That number ranks 9th in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 110.9 per 100 possessions. That number ranks 16th, putting the team in a three-way tie with the Portland Trail Blazers and Dallas Mavericks.
Injury Report
- Cameron Payne, PF (Day-to-Day)
- Cameron Johnson, SF (OUT—knee)
- Devin Booker, SG (OUT—groin)
- Jae Crowder, PF (OUT)
NBA Betting Trends:
- Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Free Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns NBA Prediction:
In one corner, you have a Suns team that’s as cold as any team across the NBA.
In the other, you have a Heat team prone to dropping wins it should pick up.
Miami is the favorite on Friday for a reason, but the reasons not to trust them are well documented.
My money’s on the team looking to break a real losing streak both against the spread and straight up.
Phoenix gets a close road win Friday night.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: PHX +2
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