Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Bucks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Bucks on Saturday, February 4th, 2023 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Bucks matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(29-24) Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks (35-17)
Date: Saturday, February 4th
Time: 8:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +205 | Bucks -245 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -6
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 221
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The first notable point is both teams last played on Thursday in nailbiters with the Bucks winning 106-105 against the Clippers while the Heat lost 104-106 to the Knicks.
ATS
The Heat are 21-30-2 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 11-14-1 ATS as the away team and 4-10 ATS as the underdog.
Additionally, the Bucks are 27-23-2 against the spread this season. Also, they are 17-10-0 ATS as the home team and 31-9ATS as the favorite.
Season Series
This is the third of four scheduled matches between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks. The teams played a baseball set in Miami with the Heat winning both matches on January 12th (108-102) and 14th (111-95).
Milwaukee will also host the final match on February 24th.
Last season, the squads played four times with each team winning both matches on their home court. The Heat holds the all-time record having bested the Bucks in 75 of their 124 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Friday, February 3rd. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Saturday, February 4th.
Miami Heat
This could be a potential playoff series opponent for the Heat. They’ll need to rediscover their perimeter shooting though if they want to be competitive against a Bucks team who are just as adept defensively.
The bench has been problematic for the Heat all season while they’ve dealt with constant injuries. Notably, the uptick in wins is directly related to having both Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo on the court and both will be available for this match.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 108.4 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 45.3% from the field and 33.7% from the perimeter ranking 28th and 26th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allow opponents to score 108.1 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 47.5% from the field and 36.6% from the perimeter ranking 20th and 24th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Victor Oladipo, SG (doubtful— ankle)
- Duncan Robinson, PF (OUT indefinitely — finger)
- Omer Yurtseven C (OUT indefinitely — ankle)
- Nikola Jovic SF (OUT indefinitely, — back)
- Orlando Robinson, PF (OUT indefinitely— thumb)
- Gabe Vincent G (questionable—ankle)
Milwaukee Bucks
Turns out that taking a few days off to rest an achy knee did wonders for Giannis Antetokounmpo who dropped 50 points twice in the span of a week!
In his initial return to the court, Khris Middleton looked very much like a player who had missed significant time but is starting to resemble his pre-injury self now that he’s shaken off the rust.
Stats
Opponents score the fifth-fewest points with the Bucks allowing 111.8 per game limiting opponents to 45.4% from the field and 35.0% from deep ranking third and seventh respectively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 114.1 points per game ranking 18th, while shooting 46.0% from the field and 35.8% from the perimeter ranking 23rd and 16th in the latter two categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- MarJon Beauchamp, G (Probable—right patellar tendon)
- GIannis Antetokounmpo, PF (Probable—knee)
- Bobby Portis, F (OUT— knee MCL sprain)
- Serge Ibaka, F (OUT— shopping for trade partners- away from team)
- AJ Green (OUT – G League – Two-Way)
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Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Also, the Heat are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
- By comparison, the Bucks are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
- Finally, the Bucks are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Prediction:
These two clubs have a very similar storyline this season as both have struggled at times offensively but feasted on defense while dealing with injuries to their core.
Specifically, the Bucks rank second defensively and 24th offensively versus the Heat’s fifth and 27th-ranked defense/offense. The major difference is Milwaukee is showing vast improvements in the last 10 matches vaulting to 11th on offense.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Pick: Heat +6
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