Free NBA Pick: Grizzlies vs. Raptors Odds
Looking for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Grizzlies taking on the Raptors on November 9th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Grizzlies Raptors matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors
Grizzlies +3.5 | Raptors -3.5Here’s why I’m backing Toronto in my Grizzlies Raptors free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Grizzlies vs. Raptors Gameday
Memphis travels to Toronto on November 9th for an NBA matchup at Scotiabank Arena. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 ET, with both teams hoping to improve upon last season’s results.
After getting out to a stunning start to the season, the Grizzlies have lost three games in a row.
Per John Schuhmann: For the second straight season, the Raptors rank in the top three in both transition points scored (30.5) and transition points allowed (17.7) per game, according to Synergy tracking. They outscored the Magic by 44 points (61-17) in transition over their two-game series last week.
The Raptors are dealing without Kawhi Leonard as he deals with knee swelling and are flirting with .500 record as other injuries pop up. Meanwhile, Leonard is ramping up his efforts to return to the court.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 60 times, with the Raptors holding the 31-29 edge. Last year, Toronto swept the two-game regular-season series.
Memphis last played in NBA Cup action on Friday, losing 97-128 to the OKC Thunder.
Toronto also played on Friday, missing three starters (Leonard, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley) but battled back from a double-digit deficit to beat the Bucks 121-107.
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Grizzlies Stats
The Grizzlies ranked tied for 22nd offensively (113.3), tied for 24th defensively (117.0), with the 22nd-ranked net rating of (-3.8), and ran the 10th-fastest pace (101.48).
The Grizzlies averaged 115.3 points per game while their opponents averaged 119.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averaged 28.2 (ninth) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Per ESPN: After last season’s trade deadline, Grizzlies general manager Zach Kleiman expressed confidence in what was left in Memphis after jettisoning key players — Desmond Bane the previous summer and later Jaren Jackson Jr. — from a roster previously expected to contend for years to come.
Kleiman moved the final player, Ja Morant, in June. But on that February day, Kleiman discussed his “conviction” in “pivoting to a younger build” that was “not going to be some drawn-out five-year process.” Perhaps he was right, considering Memphis’ 6-1 start behind young players such as Cameron Boozer and Cedric Coward taking on major roles alongside a resurgent Ty Jerome.— Wright
The Grizzlies ranked tied for 22nd offensively (113.3), tied for 24th defensively (117.0), with the 22nd-ranked net rating of (-3.8), and ran the 10th-fastest pace (101.48).
The Grizzlies averaged 115.3 points per game while their opponents averaged 119.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averaged 28.2 (ninth) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Raptors Stats
Toronto ranked tied for 14th offensively (115.0) and were fifth defensively (112.1) while holding the 11th-best net rating (+2.9) and ranking 21st in pace (99.22).
The East’s 2025/26 fifth seed averaged 114.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averaged 29.5 (third) and 42.1 (24th), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders were Brandon Ingram for scoring (21.5 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (5.9), Scottie Barnes for rebounds (7.5), steals (1.4), and blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, Toronto shot 35.4% from deep, while six* players shot above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Grizzlies vs. Raptors Key Matchup
Memphis offers balanced scoring and is a super fun watch. Tuomas Iisalo has his squad dialed in and believing in themselves.
Ty Jerome is leading the Grizzlies with 26.6 points per game plus 5.3 assists. A total of five players are averaging double-figure scoring, which is part of the reason why opponents find them so difficult to defend.
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Barnes is the key for the Raptors, particularly while Kawhi Leonard remains out. It’s a load to put on the young wing, as he’s also the primary defender. He’s listed as a game time decision for this match.
The other key scorer to game plan for is R.J. Barrett, who has been the most consistent in the early season.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors bottom line: The Grizzlies are NOT the Bucks so if Barnes can’t go it’ll make the situation much more difficult for the Raptors. Memphis has length that will bother Toronto, especially if Barnes is a DNP. With that in mind, wait until the final injury report before placing your bet.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors Basketball Betting Trends
- Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
- Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Grizzlies’ last 8 games following an ATS loss.
- Over is 5-1 in the Raptors’ last 6 overall.
Grizzlies Raptors Free Pick: Raptors -3.5
Here is my Grizzlies Raptors free pick: I’m playing Toronto ATS. I’m presuming with the two days rest Barnes will dress and give the Raptors the edge. Memphis has been excellent, but their early success was partly due to the soft schedule and teams underestimating them.
That said, the Raptors were clicking on Friday and finally had a solid game segment where they excelled on both sides of the court.
Per ESPN: After reacquiring Leonard in a trade this offseason, the Raptors have already been forced to deal with the reality of Leonard: one of the league’s best players who has been consistently sidelined because of left knee swelling.
Still, the Raptors have remained afloat thanks to Scottie Barnes, who is ninth in steals per game (2.1) and 13th in scoring (24.4), and a historically suffocating defense that leads the league with 20.9 turnovers per game. — Rhim
If nothing else, it showcased the Raptors’ depth as Alijah Martin stepped up scoring 27 points off the bench. The duo of Martin and Jamal Shead clicked as the latter put up a career-best 16 assists with just a single turnover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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ALIJAH MARTIN WAS ON FIRE FROM DEEP!
🔥 27 PTS (career-high)
🔥 4 REB
🔥 2 STL
🔥 9-11 FGM
🔥 6 3PM (career-high)The @Raptors pick up their first victory in @emirates NBA Cup East Group A action! https://t.co/zmrZ3eCBcI
— NBA (@NBA) November 7, 2026
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