Free NBA Pick: Lakers vs. Hawks Odds
Looking for LA Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Lakers taking on the Hawks on November 9th at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Lakers Hawks matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – LA Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks
Lakers -2.5 | Hawks +2.5Here’s why I’m backing the over in my Lakers Hawks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Lakers vs. Hawks Gameday
LA travels to Atlanta on November 9th for an NBA matchup at State Farm Arena. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 ET, with both teams seeking to improve upon their placement last season.
Per ESPN: Taking advantage of circumstances. The standings will show Atlanta winning games against Cleveland and Indiana in the past week. What won’t appear is Cleveland playing in the second night of a back-to-back and Indiana having only six healthy players. The Pacers became the first team to have six players available this early in the season since the 1948 Boston Celtics. — Bobby Marks
LA is off to a sizzling start with a 9-2 record, with their only losses to the Blazers and Warriors.
Likewise, the Hawks have started hot with a 7-4 record.
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LA Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 344 times, with the Lakers holding the 199-145 edge. Last year, the teams split the two-game regular season series.
LA last played on Sunday, making this a back-to-back set for them. Despite not having Luka Doncic (back spasms), they held on to beat the Pistons 121-116.
In another close match, Atlanta last played on Saturday, defeating the Brooklyn Nets 124-121.
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Lakers Stats
LA ranked tenth offensively (117.0) and tied for 20th defensively (115.5), with the 14th-best net rating (1.5), running a pace of 99.22, which ranked tied for 21st in the association.
The West’s fourth seed averaged 116.3 points per game while its opponents averaged 114.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, the Lakers averaged 25.9 (17th) and 41.0 (27th), respectively.
The Lakers rank first offensively and that’s not a surprise given how hot Luka Doncic has been. In his last five games he’s scored 53, 40, 42, 45 and 37 points!
Team leaders* for key categories were Luka Doncic for scoring (**33.5 points), assists (8.3), and steals (1.6), Deandre Ayton for rebounding (8.0), and for blocks (1.0).
LA shot the deep ball at an average of 35.9%, with eight players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Hawks Stats
In the 2025-26 regular season, the Hawks ranked tied for 14th (115.0) on offense and tied for ninth on defense (112.9). Additionally, Atlanta ranked 12th in net rating (+2.2) and ran the fifth-quickest pace (102.50).
The East’s sixth seed averaged 118.5 points per game, while its opponents averaged 116.0 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Atlanta averaged 30.1 (first) and 43.5 (18th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories for Atlanta featured Jalen Johnson for scoring (22.5 points), rebounding (10.3), and assists (7.9), while Dyson Daniels was the top steal man (2.0) and Oneyeka Okongwu (1.1) for blocks.
Seven Hawks shot above the league average while the team as a whole shot 37.1%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Lakers vs. Hawks Key Matchup
Clearly, Doncic is the straw that stirs the Lakers’ offense. He’s been exceptional out of the gate averaging a league-best 40.1 points per game along with 7.8 rebounds and 7.7 assists.
The Robin to Doncic’s Batman is Austin Reaves who is averaging 25.3 points.
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Jalen Johnson is averaging a near triple-double of 19.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 7.6 assists. Yet, it’s the play of Nickeil Alexander-Walker that has proven to be more impressive, with 22.1 points while shooting 38.4% from deep and providing solid defense.
LA Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks bottom line: If there were questions about the Lakers depth perhaps they got answered in the victory Sunday. Although the team had struggled when Doncic sat the fact they could beat a quality team like the Pistons without him in the line-up was eye-opening.
LA Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks Basketball Betting Trends
- Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Lakers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days’ rest.
- Over is 5-0 in the Hawks’ last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-0 in the Lakers’ last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in the Hawks’ last 5 overall.
Lakers Hawks Free Pick: Bet the over
Here is my Lakers Hawks free pick: I’m playing the over bet because both teams love to run and put the ball in the basket.
Much will depend on whether Doncic can go after missing Sunday’s match due to back spasms. Still, the Pistons are a better team than the Hawks, so don’t automatically count out the Lakers regardless if he plays.
Per ESPN: It’s hard to imagine a better start to the season for the Slovenian sharpshooter, leading the league in scoring with 38.3 points per game on percentage splits of 49.7/42.7/88.7. After he scored 42 in a rout of the Heat on Monday, Giannis Antetokounmpo wondered aloud whether Doncic wasn’t just establishing himself as the best scorer in today’s game, but rather the best to ever put the ball in the basket in the history of the game. — Dave McMenamin
Turnovers will be key in this contest with Doncic and Reaves averaging 8.5 miscues per game and the team averaging 16.9 per match.
That should lead to the Hawks getting out in transition to score easy buckets, so I’m banking on this being an up and down match with plenty of scoring.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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MADNESS IN ATLANTA!
NAW WITH THE HUSTLE TO PUT THE HAWKS UP 3!
UNDER A MINUTE TO GO ON NBA LEAGUE PASS 🍿 https://t.co/EuicM32XAk
— NBA (@NBA) November 8, 2026
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