Free NBA Pick: Rockets vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Mavericks on Thursday, December 29th, 2022 at American Airlines Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Rockets-Mavericks matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(10-24) Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks (19-16)
Date: Thursday, December 29th
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: Rockets +415 | Mavericks -514 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: DAL -11
NBA Betting Total: 222.5
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The road Rockets come into this one off a 126-102 road loss to the Boston Celtics. They entered that one as 15-point underdogs and failed to cover for the third time in their last five outings—their fifth time failing to cover in 10 games.
Houston is 16-16-2 against the spread on the season.
The home Mavericks come into this one off a 126-121 win over the New York Knicks. They entered that one as 6-point favorites and failed to cover for the third time in their last five outings—their sixth time failing to cover in 10 games.
Dallas is 12-21-2 against the spread on the season.
These two teams have faced off twice during the 2022-23 regular season—a series that has gone 1-1 with the Rockets winning Game 1 back on Wednesday, Nov. 16, 101-92, and the Mavericks winning Game 2 on Friday, Dec. 23, 112-106.
*Editor’s note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing during games Wednesday night, December 28. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Thursday, December 29.
Houston Rockets
Season Stats
Offense
The Rockets enter this one scoring 109.9 points per game—a number that ranks 28th in the league.
When looking at the advanced stats, the Rockets score 106.4 points per 100 possessions. That number puts them in the No. 29 spot so far this season, putting them ahead of only the dead last No. 30 Charlotte Hornets.
Defense
Defensively, this team is allowing 115.7 points per game. That number ranks 22nd in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 113.2 per 100 possessions—a number that ranks 28th across the league.
Injury Report
- Jae’Sean Tate, SF (OUT—ankle)
- Eric. Gordon, SG (Day-to-Day)
Dallas Mavericks
Season Stats
The Mavericks enter this one scoring 111.8 points per game—a number that ranks 19th in the league so far during the 2022-23 campaign.
When looking at the advanced stats, the Mavericks score 112.4 points per 100 possessions. That number puts them in the No. 9 spot so far this season.
Defense
Defensively, this team is allowing 109.9 points per game. That number ranks 5th in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 110.4 per 100 possessions. That number ranks 14th, which puts the team in a tie with the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Injury Report
- Reggie Bullock, SF (Day-to-Day—non-covid illness)
- Dorian Finney-Smith, PF (OUT—hip)
- Josh Green, SG (OUT—elbow)
- Maxi Kleber, PF (OUT—hamstring)
NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
- Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Rockets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Dallas.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Free Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
Luka Doncic is doing historic work out there, and he’s trying (maybe subconsciously) to take the MVP award from Nikola Jokic.
His scoring run, being clutch and leading Dallas to wins isn’t going to end against the Rockets.
Eleven points is a lot, but betting against Doncic feels riskier at the moment.
Houston may close the gap in garbage time, but Dallas will get control of this one early and put it away before the fourth quarter even tips off.
Give this one of the Mavs both straight up and against the spread.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: DAL -11
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