Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs Rockets Lines
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets free NBA picks? NBA betting sees the Mavs taking on the Rockets on Saturday, December 10, 2016 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
4-17 (1-10 V) Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets 15-7 (6-2 H)
Date: Saturday December 10
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: -110
NBA Betting Odds: HOU -14
NBA Betting Total: 210
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The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets have both surprised people this season. The catch is that one has been a pleasant surprise, while the other has been wildly disappointing.
*All statistics, rankings and trends are current as of this writing at 4:30 p.m. ET on Friday, Dec. 9.
What is wrong with the Dallas Mavericks? Yes, Dirk Nowitzki has missed significant time to injuries, but even before he hit the sidelines this group was looking like the worst team in the Western Conference despite preseason projections putting them in position to figure for a spot in the playoffs.
So far this season, Dallas has actually been a solid defensive team. It’s in the top 10 in terms of points allowed at 100.4 per game, but the problem lies on the other end of the floor.
On offense, the Mavericks are dead last in scoring. They’re averaging just 92.1 points per game, and to top it off they’re 29th in offensive efficiency (ahead of only the lowly Philadelphia 76ers).
Against Houston, the Mavs will have the luxury of pace on their side, meaning they should exceed their season scoring average fairly easily.
The question is: Will this top-10 defense be enough to slow down one of the most dynamic offenses and players in James Harden the NBA has ever seen?
James Harden is a man possessed this season. He’s averaging 28.5 points per game to go along with 11.4 assists and 7.5 rebounds on a nightly basis.
He’s also shooting better than 45 percent from the field and 36.1 percent from the three-point line.
As a whole, the Rockets are averaging 112.2 points per night, which is second in the NBA. Unlike Dallas, however, defense is where this team struggles.
Houston is giving up 106.9 points per game, which is 23rd in the league.
Luckily for the Rockets, their defense’s “bad” is better than Dallas’ offense’s “bad.”
NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Rockets are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games.
- Over is 17-5 in Rockets last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 20-7 in Rockets last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets NBA Prediction:
There’s little question about who’s going to win this game. Dallas is arguably the worst team in the NBA, and Houston is looking at times like a second-team team in the top-heavy Western Conference.
The question here is whether or not the Rockets can live up to the massive spread they’ve been given of 14 points.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: DAL ATS
Dalls won’t win this game, but the Rockets’ defense has enough holes to give the Mavs opportunities to score.
A double-digit loss isn’t out of the question, but 14 points seems extreme knowing what we know about Houston’s defense.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Houston 113 – Dallas 101
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