Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs Warriors NBA Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavs taking on the Warriors on Friday, December 30, 2016 at Oracle Arena in Oakland, Calif. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
9-23 (3-14 V) Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors 27-5 (12-2 H)
Date: Friday December 30
Time: 10:30PM EST
Venue: Oracle Arena, Oakland, Calif
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Golden State -18
NBA Betting Total: 212
Live NBA Odds
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Friday night NBA sees the best team in the Association taking on a squad that up until the last 10 games was arguably the league’s worst. The Mavs have shown significant improvement as of late, but is that enough to remotely challenge one of the greatest teams ever constructed?
*All statistics, rankings, standings and trends are current as of this writing at 5:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 29, 2016.
Dallas Mavericks
So far this season, the Mavericks are averaging 94.8 points per game. That number puts them at dead last in the league in that category.
When looking into that further, you find out the Mavs are also dead last in pace. That’s a good sign, meaning that the low scoring could be more a product of their style than an actual anemic offense.
The problem is that this team is also just 26th in offensive efficiency.
So much for that theory.
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Defensively is where this team is making a name for itself (or at least attempting to). On the season, Dallas is giving up just 100.7 points per night, which is good enough for sixth in the Association.
But again, let’s dig a little deeper.
The Mavs’ slow pace absolutely plays a factor here. Slower pace equals fewer possessions; fewer possessions equals fewer points.
Dallas is 23rd in defensive efficiency. That’s better than dead last, but it’s hardly an indicator that this team is dominant on that side of the floor.
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Golden State Warriors
The Warriors, on the other hand, are dominant in all aspects of the game. Yes, they run the third-fastest pace in the NBA, which partly explains their first-place 117.3 points-per-game scoring average. But they also have the second-highest offensive efficiency.
That’s a deadly combo for any team trying to stifle the Warriors’ attack.
Defensively, this group is allowing 104.5 poinst per night, which is only good enough for 17th in the league. But again, think about pace.
Faster pace equals more possessions; more possessions equals more points.
Defensive efficiency is a much better indicator of defensive prowess than points allowed.
The Warriors currently sit at second in the NBA in that category.
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NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Warriors are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Warriors are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Prediction:
Picking against the Warriors seems crazy. Picking an 18-point favorite also seems insane.
So which one do we trust more?
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Golden State ATS
Golden State isn’t the most impressive team against the spread because of the high numbers that oddsmakers give them. But with a night’s rest in between Friday and their most recent contest — not to mention an opponent coming off a nationally televised Thursday night matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers — it’s easy to see this one being a blowout in the grandest of fashions.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Golden State Warriors 125 – Dallas Mavericks 103
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