Free NBA Pick: Hawks vs Suns Lines
Looking for Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns free NBA picks? NBA betting sees the Hawks taking on the Suns on Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2016 at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, Arizona. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(10-8) Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns (5-13)
Date: Wednesday, Nov. 30
Time: 9:00PM EST
Venue: Talking Stick Resort, Phoenix, AZ
NBA Moneyline Odds: -110
NBA Betting Odds: ATL -4
NBA Betting Total: 211.5
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Wednesday night NBA action features a contest between two teams that are struggling mightily as we approach the quarter-mark of the season.
The difference is that one had a hot start and is looking to get back on track, while the other is looking to right the ship for the first time all year.
The Atlanta Hawks began the 2016-17 campaign winning nine of their first 11 games. They looked like the most consistent of the bunch out East vying for the No. 2 spot in the conference, but things have changed drastically since that hot start.
Since going 9-2, Atlanta is just 1-6. There’s been a healthy mix of bottom feeders and contenders mixed into the recent schedule, but while losses to the New Orleans Pelicans and New York Knicks are less than ideal, we’ve also seen this group put up a fight against the likes of the superteam Golden State Warriors.
Against Phoenix, the goal will be to control the pace. The Suns are No. 1 in the league in terms of pace, but that doesn’t mean the Hawks need to necessarily slow things down.
Atlanta is also one of the league’s top teams in this category, falling into sixth place (tying with the Oklahoma City Thunder).
What controlling the pace means in this instance is reacting to how Phoenix is handling an up-tempo contest. If the Suns are loose and scoring transition buckets, that’s when it will be time to slow things down and get into half-court sets.
But if Phoenix’s young roster is playing a reckless style and becomes prone to turnovers, Atlanta can and should look to take advantage by pushing the pace and scoring off of those free opportunities.
In case it wasn’t clear from the “pace” recap, Phoenix has to control the ball. Despite being No. 1 in the league in pace, the team is just 10th in scoring.
Being in the top 10 of any category is a win, admittedly; but this group is 26th in turnovers, which is an indicator that the pace is more frantic than controlled chaos.
Scoring with efficiency is also going to be crucial for this group against the Hawks. Entering their recent contest with the Warriors, Atlanta had the No. 1 defensive efficiency in the league.
The Hawks played Golden State tough, but the 105 points proved to be enough to take down an opponent giving up just 99.4 per contest.
Phoenix’s defense has been a problem all year, as it’s given up 112.2 points per contest.
If the Suns are going to have a chance, they’ll need to go for 110 against a very tough defense.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.
- Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Free Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns NBA Prediction:
The Hawks may not be the hottest team in the league at the moment, but we’ve at least seen what they can do when things are clicking.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: ATL ATS
Don’t expect Phoenix to put on the scoring performance needed to beat this group.
NBA Free Score Prediction: ATL 105 – PHX 96
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