Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Nationals taking on the Padres on Monday, June 24th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Nationals Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres
(38-39) Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (41-41)
Date: Monday, June 24th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Matt Waldron
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals +183 | Padres -221 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Nationals vs. Padres Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET in San Diego, the Padres will host the Nationals in an NL matchup. The Padres are favored in this one, with a money line of -221 compared to the Nationals’ +183. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -107 compared to the under at -115.
Patrick Corbin will start for the Nationals, while Matt Waldron will take the mound for the Padres. The Nationals are 38-39 on the season and sit in 3rd place in the NL East, while the Padres are 41-41 and are in 2nd place in the NL West.
Washington Nationals
Washington is on the road today, taking on the Padres with an overall record of 38-39. They are 3rd in the NL East, where they trail the Phillies by 13 games. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games. The Nationals have been slightly better than .500 both at home (17-19) and on the road (21-20) this year.
As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 30-33 this season, compared to an 8-6 mark as the favorite. Washington has won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 11-13-1 this year.
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The Nationals’ offense was carried by Jacob Young in their most recent game vs. the Rockies. Young went 2/3 with a run scored and a stolen base. The Nationals only had four hits but scored two runs. Both of their runs came in the top of the 9th to pick up the 2-1 win. Washington was the -134 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 10. However, the Nationals almost wasted his performance, as they were losing 1-0 going into the 9th before scoring two runs. Dylan Floro picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan picked up the save.
Nationals Gambling
The Washington Nationals are on the road against the San Diego Padres today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals have an average combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season. Their O/U record for the season is 34-40, and their average O/U line is set at 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-14. So far this season, 31.2% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, while 36.4% have had lower lines.
Washington has been a profitable run line team this season, going 46-31 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 26-15 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most games, going 39-24 against the run line in those contests.
Nationals Stats
The Washington Nationals have struggled to generate runs this season, ranking 21st in the league in runs per game at 4.1. Their offensive numbers are below average across the board, with a team batting average of .236, which ranks 16th. However, they have been getting solid production from CJ Abrams, who leads the team with 39 RBI and 12 home runs. Lane Thomas has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .294 over his last 8 games and is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is currently 41-41 overall, and they are 8.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres will take on the Nationals at home today, and they are 2nd in the NL West with a division record of 14-15. The Padres closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a win and took the series 3-1.
At home, the Padres are 21-22 this season compared to 20-19 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 50 games, going 26-24 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Padres are 15-17 this year, and their overall series record is 14-10-3. Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 4-6 in their last 10.
Led by a big game by Luis Arraez at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-2 win over the Brewers to close out their series. Arraez went 2/4 with a run scored and drove in one run. The Padres really broke things open with a five-run 2nd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Padres were the slight favorite at -139.
Michael King started for the Padres, going six innings and giving up five earned runs on nine hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss.
Padres Gambling
San Diego has been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 42-39, and their over streak is at four games. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 10-11 in those games. Overall, 15.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is below their average over/under line of 8 runs per game.
San Diego has been a tough team to figure out on the run line this season. They are just 42-40 overall, but have been a much better bet on the road, going 27-12. They have a positive run differential on the road, but a negative one at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 22-10 on the run line, compared to just 20-30 as a favorite.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 2nd in batting average and 4th in on-base percentage. Their runs per game are slightly better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs away from home. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been a standout performer, leading the team with 14 home runs and 36 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has also been a key contributor, leading the team with 49 RBIs. The Padres have several players on hitting streaks, including Jurickson Profar, Luis Arraez, Jake Cronenworth, Ha-Seong Kim, and Jackson Merrill, who has a 5-game hitting streak.
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Nationals Padres Pitching
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 5.60. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.60. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 6.04 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Corbin finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. He issued three walks in that outing. Corbin has not won a game since May 12th.
San Diego is sending Matt Waldron to the mound today vs. the Nationals, and he has made 15 starts this year. Waldron’s record is 5-6, and he has an ERA of 3.46. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.16 and has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. At home, his ERA is 4.92 compared to 3.86 on the road.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Nationals head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Nationals they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 1-9 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Nationals are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Padres being -221, we recommend taking the under at 8.5 runs, with the payout being -107.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Matt Waldron finishing with four strikeouts compared to Patrick Corbin with just four. However, Corbin is projected to go six innings, while Waldron is projected to go five.
Offensively, our projections have the Padres finishing with 10 hits compared to the Nationals with nine. The Nationals are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, with the Padres finishing with seven.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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