Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs Phillies Odds
Looking for Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies free picks? MLB betting sees the Nationals taking on the Phillies on Tuesday, August 30th at Citizens Bank Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(76-55) Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (60-71)
Date: Tuesday August 30, 2016
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Projected Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs Jerad Eickhoff
MLB Moneyline Odds: Washington -216
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 8
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Games like this where an ace is facing one of the weakest lineups in the MLB is where the straight money line usually has little value. Max Scherzer has been at his best lately and Citizens Bank Park is a place that he has pitched very well historically.
Whether that is the ballpark or the Phillies offense remains to be seen; however, this is an excellent matchup for Scherzer.
In his career against the Phils, Scherzer is 6-1 in 9 starts with a 2.36 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 61 innings. At Citizens Bank Park, he is 3-0 with 1.86 ERA and 33 Ks in 29 innings.
The Phils have a .200 batting average against Scherzer and just a .324 slugging percentage. Needless to say, Scherzer holds the upper hand.
On the flip side, the Nats have never faced Jerad Eickhoff but obviously have had no trouble scoring runs this season.
The Nats have won six straight against the Phillies after losing four of six against them in the beginning part of the season.
That was during the Phillies’ crazy stretch where they were way outperforming expectations before coming back to Earth.
The Nats typically have been giving Scherzer good run support with just over 5 runs per start this season. That should be plenty for him against a team he has dominated.
The Phillies have fallen back to Earth after somehow keeping themselves in the mix for the division and wild card spots in the first half of the season.
Statistics showed their record would regress; it was just a matter of when that would happen.
The Phils are still competitive in most games but they aren’t winning at the rate they were prior. The future is bright in Philadelphia and Eickhoff will likely be a part of that future.
His stretch to open the season had the team thinking he could be a high caliber pitcher. He has regressed to just an average pitcher and has struggled in his career against good teams.
Eickhoff is 2-7 in his short career against teams with better than .500 record. That type of pitching will find you in the minors or the bullpen on a team competing for a playoff spot.
For now, he will continue to throw for the Phils and will be wildly overmatched against Scherzer.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 7-3 in Washington’s last 10 Tuesday games
- Over is 8-3-2 in Philadelphia’s last 13 home games
- Nationals are 14-7 overall in games Scherzer starts
- Under is 17-8 in games Eickhoff starts this season
Free Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
The numbers show it all here. Scherzer owns the Phils; Eickhoff struggles against good teams. The Nats are on the path to the playoffs while the Phils continue to rebuild and reload.
The under looks like a decent pick here because I expect Scherzer to keep the Phils lineup entirely in check. But, the most value is in the runline.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Washington -1.5
I would expect Scherzer to go the distance in this game and help the Nats save some of their bullpen. Scherzer is one of the most competitive guys in the sport and will by no means overlook the Phillies lineup.
He will mow down the lineup with plenty of strikeouts – making him a strong play in DFS games as well.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Washington 5-0
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