Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Brewers Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(13-27-0) Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers (25-14-0)
Date: Saturday, May 21st
Time: 07:10 ETPM ET
Venue: American Family Field Milwaukee
Projected Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Brandon Woodruff
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals 165 Brewers -200
MLB run line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5, Brewers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
Washington Nationals
Heading into the game, the Washington Nationals have an overall record of 13-27-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 8-12. In the NL East division, Washington currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 15-25-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 15.0% of their games. The Nationals’ over-under record is 17-20-3.
For Washington, Patrick Corbin gets the start with an overall record of 0-6. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 6.28. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.78 innings per outing, as well as 8.38 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.42 per 9. In total, Corbin has given up 4 home runs.
During the season, the Nationals bullpen has received a workload similar to the league average. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.31.
So far, the Washington Nationals have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 3.95 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -52.0. The Nationals come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.248. Washington combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.204. Placing them 29th. With runners on base, the Nationals are averaging just 0.73 stolen bases per game.
Washington has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.8 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.73 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Milwaukee Brewers have an overall record of 25-14-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 13-5. In the NL Central division, Milwaukee currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 17-22-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 90.0% of their games. The Brewerss’ over-under record is 18-18-3.
For Milwaukee, Brandon Woodruff gets the start with an overall record of 4-2. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.35. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.74 innings per outing. as well as 11.5 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.21 per 9. In total, Woodruff has given up 5 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Brewers have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.63.
During the season, the Milwaukee Brewers have performed well on offense, averaging 4.77 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 34.0. On offense, the Brewers have a team batting average of 0.235, placing them 16th in the league. On their balls in play, Milwaukee has the 4th ranked BABIP of 0.296. With runners on base, the Brewers are averaging just 0.51 stolen bases per game.
Milwaukee has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.62 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.51 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 13 games on the road
- Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- Milwaukee is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Washington
- Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Milwaukee Brewers. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Brandon Woodruff has a better WHIP of 1.37 compared to Patrick Corbin at 1.68. Corbin will be facing a Brewers offense with a team batting average of 0.235 (16th). Woodruff has a tough matchup against a Nationals offense ranked 5th in batting average.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Brewers -1.5
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