Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Reds Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(19-35-0) Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (18-33-0)
Date: Sunday June 5th
Time: 01:40 ETPM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park Cincinnati
Projected Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Luis Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals 122 Reds -145
MLB run line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5, Reds -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.0
Washington Nationals
Heading into the game, the Washington Nationals have an overall record of 19-35-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 10-17. In the NL East division, Washington currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 20-34-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 19.0% of their games. The Nationals’ over-under record is 26-25-3.
For Washington, Patrick Corbin gets the start with an overall record of 1-8. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 6.96. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.92 innings per outing, as well as 7.95 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.98 per 9. In total, Corbin has given up 7 home runs.
So far, the Nationals bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.54.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Washington Nationals, as they are averaging just 3.98 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -80.0. The Nationals come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.252. Washington combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.216. Placing them 28th. In terms of stolen bases, the Nationals are doing so near the league average, at 0.78 per game.
Washington has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.7 per game. Currently, the team is ranked 0.78 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Cincinnati Reds have an overall record of 18-33-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 10-13. In the NL Central division, Cincinnati currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 23-28-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 25.0% of their games. The Redss’ over-under record is 28-22-1.
For Cincinnati, Luis Castillo gets the start with an overall record of 2-2. His current ERA sits at 3.38, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.24 innings per outing. as well as 9.45 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.7 per 9. In total, Castillo has given up 2 home runs.
So far, the Reds bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.74.
So far, the Cincinnati Reds have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.22 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -56.0. The Reds head into the game ranked just 26th in team batting average. Cincinnati combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.24. Placing them below average. With runners on base, the Reds are averaging just 0.61 stolen bases per game.
Cincinnati has been strong on defense, ranking 3rd in fewest errors at 0.39 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.61 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
- Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Cincinnati Reds. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Luis Castillo has a better WHIP of 1.01 compared to Patrick Corbin at 1.79. I expect a strong performance from Patrick Corbin, as the Reds offense is ranked just 26th. Castillo has a tough matchup against a Nationals offense ranked 6th in batting average.
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