Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Reds Odds
Looking for Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Nationals taking on the Reds on Sunday, May 4th, 2024 at Great American Ball Park, in Cincinnati, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Nationals Reds free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds
(15-19) Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (18-16)
Date: Sunday, May 4th
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park Cincinnati, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore vs. Nick Martinez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals +103 | Reds -121 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5 | Reds -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Nationals vs. Reds Gameday
At 4:10 PM ET, the Reds and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (-121). The money line odds have the Nationals at +103. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Nick Martinez. Washington is 3rd in the NL East, while the Reds are 2nd in the NL Central. MASN will be televising Sunday’s matchup.
It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Reds by a score of 11-6. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +161 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Trevor Williams for the Nationals and Nick Lodolo for the Reds. Williams only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just four hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Lodolo was tagged for six runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Washington’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as Amed Rosario, James Wood, Nathaniel Lowe, and CJ Abrams each had two RBIs. Rosario, Wood, and Riley Adams each homered for the Nationals.
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Washington is 15-19 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Reds. The Nationals are 7.5 games behind the Mets in the NL East and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games and are 6-12 on the road this year.
At home, the Nationals have been much better at 9-7. So far, they have yet to play a game as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, the Nationals are 15-19 overall. They have an overall series record of 4-5-1 this year.
Nationals Stats
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and are 12th in home runs. Their team on-base percentage of .309 is also 18th in the MLB.
James Wood has been a big power threat for the Nationals this season, as his nine home runs is 4th in the league and leads the team. He is also batting .273. Nathaniel Lowe has gone deep six times this season and is batting .252. However, Lowe has struggled of late, batting just .212 in his last eight games. CJ Abrams has been hot of late, batting .364 over his last eight games.
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Cincinnati is 18-16 overall and trails the Cubs by three games in the NL Central. The Reds are 6-5 in the division and have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games overall. At home, the Reds are 9-9 this year and 9-7 on the road.
So far, the Reds have been the underdog in all of their games. Their series record is 4-5-1, and they are currently tied with the Nationals in their series. The Reds won yesterday’s game 9-2.
Reds Stats
Austin Hays has been on a tear for the Reds of late, going 6/16 in his last four games with two homers and seven runs scored. For the season, he is batting .365, which is the 2nd best mark on the team, and his five homers is tied for the team lead. Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays are also tied for the team lead in RBIs, with both players having 25 RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are 5th in the league in runs per game at 5.1 and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .251 (8th) and have the league’s 11th best home run total. Heading into today’s game, TJ Friedl is on a three-game hitting streak, while Jose Trevino and Spencer Steer are both on four-game streaks.
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Nationals Reds Pitching
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made five straight quality starts and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.51 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his 41 innings of work, he has a total of 59 strikeouts, averaging 12.95 per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Gore finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Right-hander Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Cardinals on April 28th, he went 6 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Martinez has made six starts, has a record of 1-3, and an ERA of 4.68. Opposing batters are hitting .260 off Martinez this season. So far, he has turned in one quality start and is averaging 7.16 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed four homers and is averaging 3.03 walks per nine innings.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Nationals head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Nationals they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Reds are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Reds have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Nationals are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Reds have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Nationals vs. Reds Prediction: Reds ML -121
There are a couple of ways you could look to play this game, but we are going to recommend sticking with the money line and taking the Reds to pick up the win at home.
The payout for a Reds win is -121, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Martinez picking up five strikeouts compared to MacKenzie Gore, who we have striking out eight.
However, Martinez is projected to go deeper into the game, and he has a better chance of picking up the win.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Go ahead and clear ’em, Spence! pic.twitter.com/4B3DL10o5f
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) May 3, 2025
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