Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Nationals taking on the Cubs on Thursday, September 19th, 2024 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Nationals Cubs free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs
(68-84) Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs (77-75)
Date: Thursday, September 19th
Time: 7:40 ET
Venue: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Javier Assad
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals +150 | Cubs -180 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5 | Cubs -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Nationals vs. Cubs Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Chicago, as the Cubs host the Nationals at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM, and the game will be broadcast on MASN.
On the mound, Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, while Javier Assad will take the hill for the Cubs. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the under currently paying out at -114.
Washington Nationals
Washington is on the road today, facing the Cubs with an overall record of 68-84, which is good for 4th place in the NL East. Currently, they are 23.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals head into today’s game having lost three straight games, and they dropped their final three games of the series vs. the Mets.
At home, the Nationals are 36-39 this season, and they are 32-45 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 53-71 this year, and they are 15-13 when favored. Their overall series record is 19-24-6, and they are looking for a win today as they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
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Washington closed out their series vs. the Mets with a 10-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +146 underdog on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 4th inning, as the Mets scored nine runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only three runs in the 3rd.
DJ Herz got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Offensively, the Nationals had only three fewer hits than the Mets but scored zero runs. CJ Abrams was the only Nationals hitter with more than one hit, going 2/3.
Nationals Gambling
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9 runs per game. The Nationals have gone over the total in 19 of 42 games this season when the line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and they have a record of 72-74 on the over/under for the season. Their last two games have gone over the total.
Washington has been a profitable run line team this season, going 84-68 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-33 against the run line. The Nationals have been an underdog in most of their games, going 71-53 against the run line in those contests. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it drops to -3.9 in losses.
Nationals Stats
The Washington Nationals have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. Their power numbers are also lacking, as they are 25th in total home runs with 127. However, their batting average of .242 is around the middle of the pack, and they don’t strike out much, ranking 5th in the league in strikeouts per game.
Luis García Jr. and CJ Abrams have been the Nationals’ top hitters this season, with both players tied for the team lead in home runs and RBI. In terms of recent performances, James Wood has struggled at the plate, going just 3 for 19 in his last 5 games. Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams are the Nationals’ top hitters on current hitting streaks.
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Chicago Cubs
Chicago is 77-75 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs are also 3rd in the division, tied with the Cardinals. The Cubs lost the final two games of their series vs. the Athletics and are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Cubs are 39-35 this season and 38-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 40-37 this year and 37-38 as the underdog. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and their overall series record is 21-25-3. The Cubs have lost two straight series.
The Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Athletics scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Chicago was the -180 favorite at home going into the game.
Justin Steele got the start for the Cubs and was pulled after 2 2/3 innings of work. He didn’t give up a run, but the Cubs were looking for more length out of their starter. Offensively, the Cubs only had three fewer hits than the Athletics but scored just three runs. Nico Hoerner and Dansby Swanson each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
Cubs Gambling
The Cubs have played 44 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 17-14. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 72-75. The Cubs have played 77 games with over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line 50.7% of the time.
Chicago has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 46-32, but they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 28-46. They have been favored in 77 games this season, going 25-52 against the run line, while they have been the underdog in 75 games, going 49-26 against the run line.
Cubs Stats
The Chicago Cubs have been a slightly above-average offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Their offense has been more productive on the road, where they average 5.1 runs per game, good for 2nd in the MLB. However, at home, they have struggled to score, averaging just 4.0 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. The Cubs have a solid walk rate, ranking 6th in the league, but their home run total of 162 is 17th in the league.
Their top hitters for the season include Seiya Suzuki, who is hitting .278 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI, and Ian Happ, who leads the team with 25 home runs and 85 RBI. Nico Hoerner and Michael Busch have been hot at the plate recently, with Hoerner hitting .393 over his last 7 games and Busch hitting .333 with 3 home runs over the same span. Suzuki is currently on a 9-game hitting streak, while Hoerner has hit safely in 6 straight games.
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Nationals Cubs Pitching
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 6-13 with a 5.46 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.49, and he has a batting average allowed of .286. In his 30 appearances, Corbin has turned in nine quality starts.
Looking back at his last outing, Corbin picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.27 ERA. So far, opponents are batting .242 off Assad this season. In his 27 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.58 strikeouts per nine innings.
The last time he pitched, Assad finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Nationals head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Nationals they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cubs are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cubs have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Nationals are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cubs have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-4 in favor of the Cubs. However, with the Cubs being -180 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. You can get the over at -107, and we have the Cubs and Nationals combining for nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Javier Assad finishing with six strikeouts compared to Patrick Corbin with five. If you’re looking for a player prop, Assad to go over five strikeouts could be a good option.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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