Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Braves Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(30-55-0) Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (49-35-0)
Date: Saturday, July 9th
Time: 04:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta
Projected Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Kyle Wright
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals 190 Braves -230
MLB run line Betting Odds: Nationals +1.5, Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.0
Washington Nationals
Heading into the game, the Washington Nationals have an overall record of 30-55-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 16-24. In the NL East division, Washington currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 34-51-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 80.0% of their games. The Nationals’ over-under record is 45-37-1.
For Washington, Patrick Corbin gets the start with an overall record of 4-10. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.68. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.19 innings per outing, as well as 8.02 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.15 per 9. In total, Corbin has given up 14 home runs.
So far, the Nationals bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.5.
During the season, the Washington Nationals have performed well on offense, averaging 4.65 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 19.0. The Nationals come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.257. Washington combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.225. Placing them 27th. With runners on base, the Nationals are averaging just 0.68 stolen bases per game.
Washington has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.65 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.68 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Atlanta Braves have an overall record of 49-35-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 27-18. In the NL East division, Atlanta currently sits 2nd So far, the team has gone 44-40-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 48.0% of their games. The Bravess’ over-under record is 39-42-2.
For Atlanta, Kyle Wright gets the start with an overall record of 9-4. This includes a strong ERA of 2.91 So far, he is lasting an average of 6.0 innings per outing. as well as 9.19 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 2.91 per 9. In total, Wright has given up 6 home runs.
During the season, the Braves bullpen has received a workload similar to the league average. The team’s relief corps has combined for one of the lower ERA’s in the MLB at 3.18.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Atlanta Braves, as they are averaging just 4.01 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 12.0. The Braves head into the game ranked just 24th in team batting average. On their balls in play, Atlanta has the 5th ranked BABIP of 0.291. With runners on base, the Braves are averaging just 0.71 stolen bases per game.
Atlanta has been strong on defense, ranking 4th in fewest errors at 0.43 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.71 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Nationals are 17-35 in their last 52 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 14-4 in their last 18 home games.
- Braves are 26-8 in their last 34 overall.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Atlanta Braves. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Kyle Wright has a better WHIP of 1.14 compared to Patrick Corbin at 1.67. I expect a strong performance from Patrick Corbin, as the Braves’ offense is ranked just 24th. Wright has a tough matchup against a Nationals offense ranked 3rd in batting average.
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