Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(17-15-0) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (19-13-0)
Date: Friday, May 13th
Time: 07:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Tropicana Field Tampa Bay
Projected Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Drew Rasmussen
MLB Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays -118 Rays -102
MLB run line Betting Odds: Blue Jays +1.5, Rays -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 6.5
Toronto Blue Jays
At 17-15-0, the Toronto Blue Jays travel to take on the Tampa Bay, ranked 3rd in the AL East division. Toronto will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 7-9 away from home. The Blue Jays will be looking to bounce back, after falling to the NY Yankees by a score of 5-3. Toronto’s overall series record is above .500 sitting at 6-3-1.
Toronto pitcher Kevin Gausman gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as he is current record sits at 3-1. Through 6 outings, Gausman has an ERA sitting at 2.13. Currently, opponents have a batting average of 0.255 against him.
Toronto’s offense enters play with the 21st ranked scoring offense, averaging 3.84 runs per game. This includes posting a season-long run differential of -13.0. Heading into play, the Blue Jays are the 12th unit in team batting average, currently hitting 0.237. For the season, 36.4% of the team’s hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team’s lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.09 home runs per game (7th).
Tampa Bay Rays
At 19-13-0, the Tampa Bay Rays will host Tampa Bay, currently ranked 2nd in the AL East division. On the season, the Rays have an above .500 home record, going 9-7 at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay is coming off a winning effort over the Angels by a score of 4-2. For the year, the team has played a total of 10 series, going 6-4-0.
For Tampa Bay, Drew Rasmussen gets the start, currently holding a record of 3-1. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 2.89. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just 0.192. Per 9 innings pitched, Rasmussen is averaging just 0.64 home runs allowed. In terms of strikeouts, Rasmussen profiles as an average pitcher, coming in with a total of 26 K’ and a per 9 average of 8.36.
Entering today’s action Tampa Bay features the 11th ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.28 runs per game. In the team’s 16 games at home, their run differential is -4.0. Together, the Rays’ offense has the 16th ranked batting average, at 0.237. This includes batting 0.152 over their last 3 games. Per game, the team is averaging 0.94 home runs, placing them 14th.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Blue Jays are 22-7 in their last 29 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 76-28 in their last 104 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction:
This season, Toronto’s offense has taken advantage of facing right-handed pitchers, ranking 16th in runs per at bat. This offensive success includes a team batting average of 0.239 (13th) against south-paws. Toronto’s current slugging percentage of (0.394) ranks 9th in the league.
When Tampa Bay has faced right-handed pitching, they have been able to generate the 11th most runs in baseball. The team’s batting average vs righties is 15th in the league (0.236). So far Tampa Bay has posted the 15th rated slugging percentage with righties on the mound.
I recommend taking the Blue Jays to pick up the win.
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