Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Blue Jays taking on the Mariners on Friday, July 5th, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Blue Jays Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
(39-48) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners (48-41)
Date: Friday, July 5th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Luis Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays +125 | Mariners -147 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Blue Jays +1.5 | Mariners -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
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Blue Jays vs. Mariners Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET in Seattle, the Mariners will host the Blue Jays in an AL matchup. The pitching matchup features Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays against Luis Castillo for the Mariners. The Mariners are the favorite in this one, with a money line payout of -147 compared to the Blue Jays’ +125.
Looking at the over/under line, oddsmakers have set the line at 7 runs, with the over paying out at -125 compared to +103 for the under. The game can be seen on SNET.
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 16 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 39-48 and have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games. They are on a two-game losing streak heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mariners.
So far, the Blue Jays are 12-16 against other AL East teams. At home, they are 21-24 compared to an 18-24 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 9-28 this year, which includes going 7-17 as the road underdog. Toronto has also struggled in close games, as their overall series record is 9-13-6.
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The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Astros scored two runs in the top of the 7th. Toronto was the -107 favorite at home going into the game.
Chris Bassitt had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing four walks. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Spencer Horwjson, who went 3/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and two RBIs.
Blue Jays Gambling
The Blue Jays are on the road against the Mariners today. Their combined run average is 8.7, and their over/under record is 41-43. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, they have gone 0-3. In 84 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, which is 96.6% of their games. They have not had any games with an over/under line set lower than 7 runs.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 24-18. Their average run margin is -0.7 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in three straight games. They have been a better bet to cover the run line on the road than at home, where they are just 15-30.
Blue Jays Stats
The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which ranks 24th in the league. Their home and road splits are not much different, with 3.9 runs per game at home (25th) and 4.1 runs per game on the road (21st). Their offense has hit just 78 home runs this season, which is 21st in the league. The team’s batting average of .235 is 17th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .374 is 20th. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 5th in the league in that category. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s best hitter this season, with a .296 batting average and 50 RBIs. He is currently on a 10-game hitting streak.
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Seattle Mariners
Seattle is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 48-41, which has them leading the AL West by two games over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other teams in their division, putting up a mark of 17-5. The Mariners are coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Orioles.
At home, the Mariners are 29-16 this year compared to 19-25 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 30-22 and 18-19 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 13-13-2, but they have dropped five straight series at home.
Seattle is coming off a big 7-3 win over the Orioles to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +128 on the money line. It was a five-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score three runs, all of which came in the 3rd.
Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by Julio Rodriguez, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Mariners Gambling
The Seattle Mariners are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.6 runs per game. Seattle has an over/under record of 36-48 on the season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Mariners have an over/under record of 8-13-4. So far this season, 59 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, accounting for 66.3% of their games. Only 5 games have had over/under lines set lower than 7 runs, making up just 5.6% of their games.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet at home, going 22-23 on the run line at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game at home, and their overall run line record is 41-48. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 20-17 on the run line in those games.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which ranks 27th in the league. Their batting average of .216 is the worst in the league, and they also rank last in strikeouts per game with 10. However, they do have some power in their lineup, as their total of 96 home runs is 10th in the league. Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top hitter this season, leading the team with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. In his last 5 games, he has gone 3 for 19 with 1 home run and 1 RBI. Julio Rodríguez has also been a key contributor, batting .247 on the season with 8 home runs and 30 RBIs. In his last 5 games, he has gone 4 for 21 with 1 home run and 1 RBI.
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Blue Jays Mariners Pitching
The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Gausman has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has a WHIP of 1.34 and opponents are batting .257 off him this year. In his last outing, Gausman took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gausman has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four outings.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-9 and an ERA of 3.87. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .239 off the right-hander. Castillo has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.86 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Blue Jays head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Blue Jays they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Blue Jays are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for this Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line. We have the M’s winning this one by a final score of 5-1.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Kevin Gausman, who we have finishing with four. However, Castillo is projected to go 8th among starters in innings pitched, compared to Gausman, who is projected to finish with six.
Offensively, the Blue Jays lineup is projected to finish with six hits compared to the Mariners, who are projected to finish with five.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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