Free ALDS – Game 3 Pick: Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Blue Jays taking on the Yankees on 10/7 at Yankee Stadium, in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Blue Jays Yankees free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
ALDS – Game 3
(2-0) Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (2-3)
Date: Oct 07, 2025
Time: 8:08 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Shane Bieber vs. Carlos Rodón
MLB Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays +128 | Yankees -150 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Blue Jays +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Gameday
The Toronto Blue Jays head into Game 3 of the ALDS with a commanding 2–0 series lead over the New York Yankees. With the stage shifting to Yankee Stadium, Toronto has a chance to complete the sweep under warm skies and broken clouds. First pitch is set for 8:08 PM ET on FS1.
Toronto has been dominant through the first two games, outscoring New York by an average of 7.5 runs. Their offense has exploded behind the bats of Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., combining for multiple home runs and key RBI production.
Despite a 40–41 road mark during the regular season, this team looks locked in and hungry to advance.
Aaron Boone’s Yankees now face elimination at home, where they’ve been tough all year (50–31). Still, they’ve yet to slow Toronto’s relentless attack. The Bronx crowd will be ready, but the Yankees’ pitching — shelled for 23 runs in two games — must find answers fast.
Both clubs finished the regular season at 94–68, but only one looks like a contender right now.
The Yankees will lean heavily on Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger to keep their season alive, while the Blue Jays look to ride their momentum to a series-clinching victory.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers still give the edge to the home team, listing the Yankees at -150 on the moneyline, with the Blue Jays at +127. The total sits at 7.5, suggesting moderate scoring potential despite Toronto’s red-hot bats.
Toronto has dominated this series, winning 10–1 and 13–7 in the first two games. Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk powered the Game 1 rout, while Varsho stole the spotlight in Game 2. New York’s pitching has had no answers, allowing 28 hits and nine home runs across the two contests.
The Yankees will hope their home crowd and ace left-hander can shift momentum, but the Blue Jays’ lineup depth continues to overwhelm.
With the sweep in sight, Toronto’s confidence has never been higher.
Yankees Stats
The Yankees still boast one of MLB’s most powerful lineups — leading the league in on-base percentage (.332), slugging (.455), and home runs (274). They’ve built their identity around power hitting, yet that same approach has come up empty against Toronto’s pitching.
On the mound, New York’s staff has been solid overall with a 3.91 ERA (13th) and a .228 opponent average (2nd). However, that consistency has disappeared in this series.
Max Fried struggled badly in Game 2, allowing seven earned runs in just three innings.
Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger remain the keys for the Yankees’ comeback bid. Judge’s postseason track record speaks for itself, while Bellinger has provided much-needed power from the left side.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (31 HR) and Anthony Volpe also need to contribute if the Yankees are to extend this series.
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Blue Jays Stats
Toronto’s offense has been electric this postseason, picking up right where their regular season left off. They led the league with a .265 batting average and ranked 2nd in on-base percentage (.331).
Their .427 slugging percentage (6th) and 191 home runs (11th) show balance and depth across the lineup.
Pitching-wise, the Blue Jays have been solid if unspectacular — a 4.19 ERA (18th) and a .240 opponent average (10th). Their ability to control innings early has allowed their bats to play freely. Over their last five games, all wins, they’ve averaged more than eight runs per contest.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.292, 23 HR) and Bo Bichette (.311, 94 RBI) have led the charge, while Daulton Varsho’s timely postseason power surge has given this lineup an extra gear.
The Jays are clicking on all cylinders, and their confidence is evident.
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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup
Shane Bieber takes the ball for Toronto, carrying a 3.57 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The veteran righty has been sharp, keeping traffic off the bases while generating plenty of swings and misses. If he commands his curveball, he can quiet Yankee Stadium.
Carlos Rodón counters for New York with a 3.09 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 18–9 record. His strikeout stuff remains top-tier, but command has occasionally wavered against power-hitting lineups like Toronto’s.
He’ll need to locate early to avoid another short outing.
This matchup pits a seasoned postseason arm against an ace lefty desperate to keep his team alive.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees bottom line: If Bieber holds his form and Guerrero stays hot, the Jays could wrap this series up in convincing fashion.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees have struggled recently, with a straight-up record of 2-3 in their last 5.
- Also, the Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 3 of their last 5.
- The total has gone over in 2 of the Yankees’ last 5.
- The Blue Jays are on a hot streak, winning their last 5 games straight-up.
- Additionally, the Blue Jays have covered the run line in 4 of their last 5.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the Blue Jays’ last 5.
ALDS – Game 3 Blue Jays vs Yankees: Over 7.5
Here’s my Blue Jays Yankees free pick. Game 3 of the ALDS sets up perfectly for offense as the Blue Jays and Yankees square off with the total at 7.5.
The Blue Jays have been red-hot, winning five straight and going over the total in three of those contests, driven by a lineup that’s been crushing the ball all series.
Meanwhile, the Yankees have been inconsistent but still seen the over hit twice in their last five, largely because their pitching hasn’t been sharp enough to contain power-heavy lineups.
Toronto’s bats, which led the league in both home runs and slugging percentage, pose a serious problem for a Yankees staff ranked just 18th in ERA.
When elite power meets shaky pitching, the total rarely stays quiet for long.
Warm weather and a light breeze at Yankee Stadium only enhance the potential for the ball to carry, adding more upside to the over. With both teams capable of big innings and momentum squarely on Toronto’s side, a high-scoring affair feels inevitable.
Given the offensive firepower and recent head-to-head trends, the over 7.5 is the sharpest play.
Expect plenty of fireworks in this Game 3 matchup.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Onward. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/JWJlUJVgUN
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 4, 2025
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