Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds
Looking for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Blue Jays taking on the Twins on Saturday, 8/6/2022 at Target Field in Minneapolis. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Blue Jays Twins free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(59-47) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins (56-50)
Date: Saturday, 8/6/2022
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
Projected Pitchers: Mitch White (TOR) vs. Dylan Bundy (MIN)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays -135 / Twins +115
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Blue Jays -1.5 (+115) / Twins +1.5 (-135)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9
The Blue Jays and Twins will play game 3 on Saturday night at Target Field. Mitch White will make his Blue Jays debut and he will face Dylan Bundy of the Twins.
The Blue Jays open as -135 moneyline favorites and the total is set at 9.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays did a prospect swap with the Dodgers at the deadline and acquired Mitch White. In July for the Dodgers, White was 0-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 4 starts. In his last start, he pitched 6 innings, giving up 9 hits and 2 earned runs.
On the season, White is 1-2 in 15 games (10 of those which he started). He gives up a lot of contact, but so far this season he hasn’t given up hard contact, ranking in the 84th percentile of hard hit percent. The tough thing in this match-up for him is switching from the NL to the AL. A major switch like that can change a pitchers mindset.
The Blue Jays are 1st in the MLB in BA and 4th in OBP vs righties on the season. With that, they are also 3rd in slugging; so they are really able to hit the ball for extra base hits. I have a random player to target for the Jays! Lourdes Gurriel Jr has great stats against Bundy, he is hitting .675 with a homer and a double. Gurriel over 1.5 total bases is a nice play here.
Minnesota Twins
Dylan Bundy is coming into this start after a bad month of July. He was 2-1 with a 5.92 ERA; not quite sure how he got 2 wins. Since his start July 4th, he has giving up 4 runs, 3 runs, 5 runs and 3 runs. In his last start, he picked up the loss after pitching 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs against the Padres.
On the season, Bundy is 6-5 with a 5.04 ERA in 18 starts for the Twins. One thing you can say for him is that his xERA is 3.70; which is a 1.34 difference from his actual ERA. This has been a trend for him over his last 4 season that his expected ERA is always lower than his actual ERA. Bundy has been a lot better pitching at home also; with a 3-1 record and a 2.61ERA in 6 starts at Target Field.
The Twins are 7th in BA and 6th in OBP vs righties this season. The best righter hitter on the Twins is Luis Arraez. On the season vs righties, he is hitting .339 with 5 home runs and 28 RBIs. The prop to target will be Luis Arraez over 1.5 H+R+RBIs, most likely are -110.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 9-0 in Blue Jays last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Bundys last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Bundys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Bundys last 4 Saturday starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Blue Jays are 32-15 in the last 47 meetings in Minnesota.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction:
I’m going to ride with the over 9 and Twins ML. I like the Twins to get the job done at home and hope for a series victory on Sunday.
4* Free MLB Pick: Twins ML/Over 9
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