Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays vs Astros Odds
Looking for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros free picks? MLB betting sees the Blue Jays taking on the Astros on Wednesday, August 3 at Minute Maid Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball match-ups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(59-47) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros (56-49)
Date: Wednesday Aug. 3, 2016
Time: 7:10 CDT
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Projected Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs Collin McHugh
MLB Moneyline Odds: Houston -115
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 8.5
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American League playoff contenders continue an important four-game series when the Blue Jays and Astros play Game 3 Wednesday evening in Houston.
The Astros took Game 1 Monday night 2-1 in 14 innings, so the Jays were looking to even things up Tuesday night.
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto just took two of three games from AL East-leading Baltimore over the weekend, and has now won three of its last four series.
Monday night the Blue Jays tied the game on a Russell Martin homer leading off the top of the ninth, but could get nothing else, and eventually lost on a Carlos Correa double in the bottom of the 14th inning.
On the night Toronto bats managed just six hits, while striking out 22 times.
So heading into Tuesday the Jays were tied with Boston for second place in the divisional race, just a game back of the Orioles, and led the American League wild-card race.
Right-hander Estrada (6-4, 3.02) hits the hill for Toronto Wednesday.
By our tough accounting Estrada is only nine-for-18 on quality starts this year, but it’s also been 12 starts since he gave up more than three earned runs in an outing.
Last time out he allowed four runs – three earned – in six innings against Baltimore, and just before that he held Seattle to two runs through six frames.
So in two starts since a stint on the DL Estrada has allowed five ER through 12 innings. The Blue Jays are 10-8 in Estrada’s starts this year, with the “unders” going 12-6.
In his most recent start against Houston, back in May of last season, Estrada gave up two runs through five innings, striking out eight, in a game Toronto eventually lost 6-5.
Houston, meanwhile, just got swept three games in Detroit over the weekend, losing Sunday’s finale 11-0. Just before that the Astos dropped two of three to the Yankees.
But they took the opener of this series Monday night, thanks to a great start from Doug Fister and some good bullpen work. Still, that’s five times in its last seven games Houston has scored three runs or less.
But while the Astos trail division-leading Texas by 5.5 games in the AL West, they’re also just 2.5 games behind Boston in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.
McHugh (7-7, 4.75) is having a bit of trouble following up a great 2015. So far this year he’s only nine-for-21 on quality starts, and while he had been better lately, he’s coming off a terrible bombing in which he gave up eight runs in less than two innings against Detroit last Friday.
On the season McHugh has allowed 139 hits through 116 innings. And yet Houston is 13-8 in McHugh’s starts.
In three career outings against Toronto McHugh has held that potent lineup to six runs over 19 1/3 innings; the Astros won two of those games.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Houston is 33-21 at home this year
- Toronto is 27-23 on the road
- Houston is 42-30 against right-handed starters this season
- Toronto is 44-31 against righties
- Houston took the season series from Toronto last year four games to three, with the “overs” going 5-2
We’ll give the Blue Jays short edges in the starting pitching match-up and with the sticks, and they’re getting an underdog price. So we like Toronto on the side.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Toronto and game total under 8.5
Also, neither team has hit right-handed pitching all that well this season, so despite the recent totals trend in the series between these two teams we’re thinking “under.”
MLB Free Score Prediction: Toronto 4-3
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