Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Rangers Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Rangers on Friday, July 5th, 2024 at Globe Life Field, in Texas, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Rangers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers
(44-43) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (39-48)
Date: Friday, July 5th
Time: 8:05 ET
Venue: Globe Life Field Arlington, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Shane Baz vs. Michael Lorenzen
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays +100 | Rangers -118 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Rays -1.5 | Rangers +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Rays vs. Ranges Gameday
Shane Baz will make his MLB debut for the Rays tonight, while Michael Lorenzen will make his first start of the season for the Rangers. The Rangers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Rays are trying to climb out of the basement in the AL East.
First pitch is set for 8:05 PM ET in Arlington, TX. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the under slightly favored. The money line currently favors the Rangers at -118, while the Rays are at even money.
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 44-43 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, 11 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in AL East matchups. The Rays are starting this one on the road, where they are 21-18 this year. They have also been good at home, going 23-25.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 26-23 this year, and they are 18-20 as the underdog. The team has really been on a roll in series, as they have won five straight and are 15-11-2 overall. Tampa Bay’s most recent series win came against the Royals, taking two of three games.
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The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 10-8 win. After allowing two runs to the Royals in the bottom of the first, the Rays responded with two runs of their own. Tampa Bay added another two runs in the 2nd inning and went on to score another four runs in the 5th.
Zach Eflin had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Rays’s bullpen was able to close things out, and Tampa Bay was the -112 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Rays Gambling
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Texas Rangers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 43-40. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-13. Overall, 58.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
The Rays have been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 40-47 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 24-15. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 22-16.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. Their home offense has been particularly weak, as they average just 3.8 runs per game at home, which is 26th in the league. Their total of 80 home runs is 20th in the league, and their .237 team batting average is 16th. However, they do a good job of putting the ball in play, as their strikeout rate is 24th in the league. Yandy Díaz and Isaac Paredes have been two of the team’s top hitters this season, with Paredes leading the team in on-base percentage and RBI. Randy Arozarena and Isaac Paredes are both on hitting streaks, with Arozarena having hit safely in 6 straight games and Paredes in 4.
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Texas Rangers
Texas will host the Rays today with an overall record of 39-48, which has them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by eight games, and they are 2.0 games behind the Astros for the second spot in the division. The Rangers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Padres.
At home, the Rangers are 21-21 this year compared to an 18-27 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers are 16-26 this year and 23-22 when favored. Texas’ overall series record is 11-16-1, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Padres scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Texas was the -114 favorite at home going into the game.
Max Scherzer pitched well for the Rangers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out three. However, the Rangers couldn’t close things out, and Scherzer took the loss. Texas’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd inning and had only six hits total.
Rangers Gambling
When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Rangers have played 28 games with lower over/under lines and 31 games with higher over/under lines. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 34-50.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. When they lose, it’s by an average of 3.5 runs. Their run line record is 40-47, and they are 20-22 against the run line at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.
Rangers Stats
The Texas Rangers have been middle of the pack in terms of offensive production this season. They are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, with 4.0 runs per game at home and 4.4 on the road. The team’s batting average of .239 is 15th in the league, and their total of 88 home runs is 14th. The Rangers have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 7th in the league in that category. Marcus Semien has been the team’s top hitter this season, leading the team in RBIs with 45. Corey Seager and Adolis García have also been key contributors at the plate. Nathaniel Lowe has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .343 over his last 9 games.
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Rays Rangers Pitching
For today’s game against the Rangers, the Rays will rely on Shane Baz to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.
Michael Lorenzen will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Rangers today. Against the Orioles on June 29th, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last three outings, Lorenzen has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.40 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .212 off Lorenzen this season. Out of his 14 appearances, Lorenzen has turned in eight quality starts.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Rays head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Rays they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Rangers are 1-9 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Rangers have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Rays are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Rangers have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We are predicting the Rays to pick up a 7-4 road win over the Rangers. With the Rays being the underdogs on the money line at +100, that is the route we recommend going. We have the Rangers finishing with just seven hits compared to the Rays with 11.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Rays with the over, as we have the game finishing with a combined 11 runs, which would give you some room to work with on the over/under line.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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