Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Mariners on Saturday, 5/7/2022 at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Mariners free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(16-10) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners (12-14)
Date: Saturday, 5/7/2022
Time: 9:10 PM ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Projected Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (TB) vs. Marco Gonzales (SEA)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays -125 / Mariners +105
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Rays -1.5 / Mariners +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7
The Mariners will host the Rays in game 3 of their 4 game set on Saturday night. Drew Rasmussen will get the start for Tampa and the Mariners will give the nod to Marco Gonzales.
Tampa Bay Rays
Drew Rasmussen comes into this start with a 2-1 record and 3.13 ERA in 23 innings pitched this season. In his last start, he pitched 5 innings giving up 1 hit and 1 earned run with 3 strikeouts earning the win. Rasmussen hasn’t given up more than 3 runs in any of his 5 starts this season.
This season, Rasmussen has 3.13 ERA, but his expected ERA is 3.69. A contributing factor to this is he has been getting pretty hard so far this year. His average exit velocity is in the 22nd percentile and his hard hit percent is in the 28th percentile. His hard hit percent is something to keep an eye on because last season, he was in the 1st percentile in hard hit percent.
This looks like a good matchup for the Rays. They rank 5th in batting average and 12th in slugging vs lefties so far this season in 343 at-bats. Marco Gonzales ranks in the bottom 20th percentile in both expected batting average and expected Slugging.
Marco Gonzales comes into this start 1-3 with a 4.05 ERA in 20 innings of work this season. In his last start, Gonzales went 6 innings giving up 8 hits and 3 earned runs picking up the loss vs the Astros. His strikeout numbers have also been low this season, only having over 2 strikeouts in 2/5 starts.
As a mentioned above, Gonzales ranks pretty low in some expected stats. He is in the 18th percentile in expected batting average and 14th percentile in expected slugging. He is in the 71st percentile in average exit velocity, which seems to contradict his expected slugging numbers. A live bet on the Rays seems to look like a good move if Marco is getting hit hard early.
As a team, the Mariners are 17th in batting average and 14th in slugging against righties this season. At least this game is being played at home. Seattle is 3rd in batting average and 1st in slugging this season at home. As I wrote before, Rasmussen ranks low in average exit velocity and hard hit percent.
Ty France has been one of the best stories so far in this young season. He is currently hitting .330 with a team leading 5 homeruns and a team leading 21 runs batted in. His partner in the infield, J.P Crawford is hitting .363 this season.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rays last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction:
Looking into this game, I think I trust what the Rays have been able to do against left handed pitching this season. The pick I’ll be taking is the Rays team total over. Also, put a .5 unit on the total going over. Rays are good against lefties, and the Mariners are good hitting at home.
4* Free MLB Pick: Rays TT over, Over 7
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