Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Yankees on 7/28 at Yankee Stadium, in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Yankees free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
(53-53) Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees (57-48)
Date: Jul 28, 2025
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen vs. Cam Schlittler
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays +102 | Yankees -121 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Rays +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Rays vs. Yankees Gameday
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Yankee Stadium for a primetime AL East clash on July 28, 2025. Kevin Cash’s squad faces off against Aaron Boone’s Yankees under clear skies and a light breeze on the YES Network.
At 53-53, the Rays are clinging to .500 and sit 10 games behind in the division. Despite their talent, they’ve underwhelmed on the road with a 22-25 record.
Most recently, Tampa Bay fell 2-1 in a low-scoring duel with the Reds. Once again, their lineup struggled to convert chances into runs.
In contrast, the Yankees come in with a stronger 57-48 mark and a 31-21 record at home. They’re just 5 games out of first and coming off a tight 4-3 win over Philadelphia.
While both teams are still hunting for consistency, this matchup could nudge one closer to a Wild Card push. After all, division records matter — the Rays are 15-18 against AL East opponents, and the Yankees are 11-18.
Because of that, there’s added urgency on both sides tonight. Managers and bullpens will play a key role in what could be a momentum-swinging matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Odds & Last 5
The odds are tight for this game, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the teams. The Tampa Bay Rays have a moneyline of +101, while the New York Yankees are at -120. The runline shows the Rays at +1.5 with -197 odds, and the Yankees at -1.5 with +166 odds. The total over/under is set at 8.5 runs, with over at -113 and under at -107.
Recently, the Rays faced a tough series against the Cincinnati Reds. They lost three straight games, with scores of 1-2, 2-6, and 2-7. The Rays’ offense struggled, managing only three hits in their latest game against the Reds. Taylor Walls was a bright spot with a home run in the loss.
Meanwhile, the Yankees ended their series against the Philadelphia Phillies with a win. They took the game 4-3, led by solid pitching from Carlos Rodón. The Yankees’ offense produced six hits, and Ryan McMahon contributed with a key double and two RBIs. This win could provide momentum as they face the Rays at home.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees are having a strong season at the plate. They rank first in on-base percentage with .332 and slugging percentage with .454. They also lead the league in home runs with 168, showing power in their lineup.
On the mound, the Yankees’ pitching staff holds a 4.00 ERA, placing them 16th in the league. However, they excel in limiting opponents’ batting average to .228, ranking second. Their pitchers have also accumulated 925 strikeouts, which is the sixth-best mark.
Recent games have been a mix for the Yankees. They won a close game against the Phillies 4-3 but lost the previous two games against the same team. Despite these losses, they managed to hit multiple home runs, showing their offensive potential.
Key players like Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Ryan McMahon are contributing well. Chisholm Jr. has 18 home runs and a .494 slugging percentage.
McMahon has 16 home runs and a .407 slugging percentage, providing depth to the Yankees’ lineup.
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Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have a strong batting average, ranking 3rd in the league with a .255 mark. Their on-base percentage sits at .319, putting them in 8th place. However, their slugging percentage is lower, at .401, which ranks 12th.
The Rays have hit 115 home runs, placing them 15th in the league, and have accumulated 160 doubles, ranking 19th.
On the pitching side, the Rays have an earned run average of 3.88, ranking 13th. Their batting average against is .238, which places them 11th in the league. They have given up 137 home runs, ranking 20th.
The team has achieved 51 quality starts, ranking 2nd in that category, and have recorded 878 strikeouts, placing them 16th.
In their recent games, the Rays have faced some challenges. They lost their last three games against the Cincinnati Reds, with scores of 1-2, 2-6, and 2-7. Their last win came against the Chicago White Sox, with a 4-3 victory. The team has shown some offensive power, but consistency has been an issue.
Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .257 batting average and 26 home runs, ranking 6th in the league. Yandy Díaz has a .284 average and 18 home runs. Jonathan Aranda boasts a .312 average, and Brandon Lowe has hit 19 home runs. The team looks to improve their recent performance and capitalize on their strong individual stats.
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Rays vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup
Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays. He has an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.03. Rasmussen’s record stands at 7 wins and 5 losses. He has been consistent in keeping runs low, which is key for the Rays.
Cam Schlittler will start for the New York Yankees. He holds an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.55. Schlittler’s win-loss record is 1-0. He aims to improve his stats and help the Yankees in this game.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees have a 2-3 straight-up record in their last five games.
- Additionally, the Yankees have covered the run line in 1 of their last 5 games.
- In the Yankees’ last 5 games, the total has gone over 3 times.
- Also, the Rays have a 1-4 straight-up record in their last five games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 4 of their last 5 games.
- In the Rays’ last 5 games, the total has gone over 2 times.
Rays vs Yankees Prediction: Over 8.5
The Yankees have hit the over in three of their last five games, and as a result, their offense appears to be heating up. Their bats are producing, and it’s starting to show consistently on the scoreboard.
On the other hand, the Rays have gone over in two of their last five contests. Although they’ve been less consistent, the power potential remains obvious — especially when their lineup connects.
In terms of offensive metrics, Tampa Bay leads the way in both home runs and on-base percentage, which naturally gives them plenty of chances to score.
At the same time, the Yankees are steadily climbing in batting average and slugging, suggesting their lineup is trending in the right direction.
Moreover, the front office is staying aggressive. With third base (McMahon) and the bench (Rosario) now addressed, the Yankees are reportedly targeting bullpen help — with Rockies righty Jake Bird being a name to watch. As a result, we’re seeing clear signals that this team is in full win-now mode.
That kind of roster movement often sparks a sense of urgency across the clubhouse. When paired with their current offensive trends, this matchup feels like a strong opportunity to back the over.
Given that the total is set at 8.5, both teams have the firepower to push this game into high-scoring territory. Therefore, expect aggressive swings, early runs, and a potential back-and-forth shootout.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Ryan rollin’ 🙌#RepBX | @Ry_McMahon pic.twitter.com/FQDwx2WWTg
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 27, 2025
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