Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Twins Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Twins on Tuesday, June 18th, 2024 at Target Field, in Minnesota, MN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Twins free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins
(34-38) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins (40-32)
Date: Tuesday, June 18th
Time: 7:40 ET
Venue: Target Field Minneapolis, MN
Projected Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs. Pablo López
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays +137 | Twins -162 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Rays +1.5 | Twins -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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At 7:40 PM ET in Minneapolis, MN, the Minnesota Twins will host the Tampa Bay Rays at Target Field. The Twins are currently favored to win this AL matchup, with a money line payout of -162 compared to the Rays’ +137.
Looking at the over/under line, oddsmakers have set the over/under at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -120 compared to the under at -102. On the mound, the Rays will start Aaron Civale, while the Twins will counter with Pablo López.
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 15 games. Overall, the Rays are 34-38 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins. The Rays lost their previous series vs. the Braves, dropping two of three games.
As the road team, the Rays are 15-15 this season compared to 19-23 at home. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 10-11-2 this year, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Rays closed out the series with an 8-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +105 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as they scored four runs in the inning. The Braves could only score three runs in the 4th, so the Rays were able to pick up the 8-6 win.
Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Rays, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by Brandon Lowe, who went 2/3 with a homer and four RBIs.
Rays Gambling
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Rays games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 37-33. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Rays have a record of 10-9. Overall, 43.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs this season, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
When the Rays win, they do so by an average of 2.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 29-43, and they are 16-14 against the run line on the road. They are 14-27 against the run line as the favorite and 15-16 against the run line as the underdog.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled to score runs this season, ranking 27th in the league with just 3.9 runs per game. Their offense has been particularly anemic at home, where they average just 3.7 runs per game, which is 28th in the league.
Their power numbers are also near the bottom of the league, as they rank 23rd in total home runs. However, third baseman Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .281 batting average and 38 RBIs. Outfielder Jose Siri is on a 3-game hitting streak, and first baseman Yandy Díaz has hit safely in 10 straight games.
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Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 40-32, and they have won five straight games. The Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional matchups.
As the home team, the Twins have gone 22-14 this year and are an even 18-18 on the road. This season, the Twins are 31-16 when favored and 9-16 as the underdog. Minnesota has won five straight games as the favorite. The Twins’ overall series record is 13-8-2, and they have won two straight series.
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with an 8-7 win. After allowing three runs to the Athletics in the top of the 2nd, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.
Chris Paddack got the start for the Twins, going just 2 1/3 innings, and taking the loss. He really struggled on the mound, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks. The Twins’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as they didn’t allow a run over the final 6 2/3 innings.
Twins Gambling
Minnesota has had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 32-38, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-10-2. Overall, 43.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 33-39 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 18-18. The Twins have been favored in 47 games and have gone 21-26 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while it is -3.9 in losses.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 10th in runs per game with an average of 4.6. Their home and road splits are fairly consistent, with 4.5 runs per game at home and 4.8 on the road. The Twins have hit 83 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their batting average of .243 is 11th in the league, while their OPS of .727 ranks 8th.
Carlos Santana has been a key contributor, leading the team with 36 RBI this season. He’s also hit 11 home runs, which is 2nd on the team. Ryan Jeffers has also been a force at the plate, leading the team with 12 home runs and 36 RBI.
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Rays Twins Pitching
Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 5.20. Civale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33.
In his 14 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Civale finished with a no-decision against the Cubs, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
Pablo López will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rockies. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up just two earned runs.
Looking at his overall numbers, López has made 14 starts, and his record for the season is 6-6. The right-hander’s ERA is 5.33, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off López this season.
He has a total of six quality starts and is averaging 9.95 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, López has allowed 14 homers.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Rays head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Rays they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Twins are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Twins have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Rays are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Twins have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for the Twins vs. Rays matchup is to take the Twins to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Twins at -162, we actually like the over at 8 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Pablo Lopez is actually projected to finish with the most strikeouts among all starters today. His projected strikeout total is eight, and you could look to take his strikeout line if that becomes available.
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