Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Red Sox in Game 4 of the American League Divisional Series Monday, October 11th, 2021 at Fenway Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Red Sox ALDS Game 4 free pick.
2021 ALDS: Game 4
(1-2) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox (2-1)
Date: Monday, October 11th, 2021
Time: 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA.
Projected Pitchers: TBD
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays -112 | Red Sox +102 (Bet Now!)
MLB run line Betting Odds: Rays -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U 9.5
Boston prevailed in a rather long Game 3 Sunday evening.
It was actually just a lead-up to the marathon. The Boston Marathon, October edition.
Boston has the unique opportunity to host a playoff game, and close out the series, on Marathon Monday. The energy will be unmatched.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays caught some tough breaks in their 6–4 Game 3 loss.
The biggest such break came in the top of the 13th inning when Kevin Kiermaier soared a ball over the right fielder’s head and over the fence on the bounce.
The go-ahead run was running on the pitch from first with two outs and would have scored easily. By rule, the umpires can score the runner from first on the double by discretion, which they elected not to do.
Nick Pivetta went on to strike out Mike Zunino with the runner still at third and then Christian Vazquez sent everyone home with a walk-off home run in the bottom of the inning.
Tampa Bay used nine pitchers, including David Robertson for two full innings and Andrew Kittredge for four outs.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox got more out of their starter — Nathan Eovaldi went five innings despite a rough start to his outing. Drew Rasmussen lasted just two innings for Tampa.
Nick Pivetta went the last four, allowing just three hits and striking out seven.
And it’s a good thing his team won because Pivetta would have been Alex Cora’s starting pitcher for this game but you can’t save a guy for tomorrow when there’s a game to win tonight.
Boston has Martin Perez available. He was throwing in the bullpen late in Game 3 but never entered the game.
He may be the only option to start Monday. Tanner Houck has only had two days of rest since throwing 61 pitches in relief in Game 2.
Sale started that game and only threw 30 pitches because he was so ineffective. He could be available for this game but he didn’t exactly inspire confidence with his Game 2 performance. He’ll be most likely to come out of the bullpen, if he appears at all.
Garrett Richard could get some work, in addition to a lot of the guys who threw in Game 3, including Garrett Whitlock, Ryan Brasier, and Josh Taylor.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Head to Head: Over is 26-12-2 in the last 39 meetings.
- Head to Head: Rays are 17-7 in the last 24 meetings in Boston.
- Head to Head: Over is 14-2-1 in the last 17 meetings in Boston.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
Tampa Bay seems to be better positioned with its pitching depth. It’s hard to see Boston putting nine innings together unless it gets a pleasantly surprising outing out of Perez or Richards.
That may just be what it gets, though. All year this team has found a way to stick together.
The energy in the city will play a role, too. The fact that the Sox are playing a home playoff game on Marathon Monday in October is to script.
The only thing that’s wrong is that this is the last of the four games on MLB’s schedule for the day. They ought to start this one at 11 AM like they do in April.
Hard as it is to bet against Boston in this spot, it’s the right play. Tampa Bay ought to make the most of its depth and beat up on Boston’s lack of quality arms available.
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