Free MLB Pick: Rays vs Orioles Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles free plays? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Orioles on Monday, April 24, 2017 at Orioles Park in Baltimore, Maryland. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(10-9) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (12-4)
Date: Monday, April 24, 2017
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Orioles Park, Baltimore Maryland
Projected Pitchers: Chris Archer vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -105 | Baltimore +175
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Baltimore -1.5
MLB Betting Total: 8.5
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Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays will bring their ace to the mound to open the series against their inter division rival, the Baltimore Orioles. Chris Archer has made four starts this season and has a 3.20 ERA in those appearances, but is buoyed by a 1.70 FIP.
Archer’s BABIP this year is an abnormally high .352, much of which can be attributed to a line drive rate at a career high 27%, which is one of the worst line drive percentages in the big leagues this season.
If you believe that will regress to his career mean of around 20%, with an increase in groundballs, one would expect Archer to shine in the coming months. But that could prove to be a challenge against this Orioles team, that is in the top five in MLB at line drive rate.
The Orioles have been a surprise to many this season, coming into Monday’s game with the league’s best win/loss record. Much of the Orioles’ success this season has been the result of their pitching, they rank in the top five in pitcher WAR for both their starting rotation as well as their bullpen and that has led to the best pitching staff in MLB.
The Orioles pitching staff doesn’t show signs of dominance up and down their rotation, but have been the most effective in the league at preventing the long ball, allowing just 0.69 HR/9.
However if there is a dark spot in the rotation, it’s Monday’s starter Ubaldo Jimenez. Jimenez has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball over the last few seasons and this year doesn’t appear to be much different.
He’s among the worst 22 in the league in HR/9 rate and BB/9 rate, he’s also bottom five in strikeout rate at less than five per nine innings and all of this has led to a 5.51 ERA this season.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- BAL are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 38-13-1 in BAL last 52 home games
- TB are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore
Free Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction:
This game could be the perfect storm of confusion, but when choosing between an ace of a staff versus one of the worst pitchers in baseball; the money is in reliability. Archer and the Rays are the pick here.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Free Score Prediction: Tampa Bay 6 – Baltimore 4
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